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Trival Valderas vs Galapagar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
2 - 2
10:30 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
45' Event
76' Event

AI Match Summary

Trival Valderas host Galapagar in the Tercera RFEF - Group 7. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Trival Valderas at 1.71 goals for, 0.91 against; Galapagar at 1.74 for, 1.48 against. Head-to-head, Trival Valderas have won 0 to Galapagar's 1, with 4 draws. They last met on Nov 1, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.56) point toward Trival Valderas. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Trival Valderas
20%
Draws
42%
Galapagar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Galapagar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Trival Valderas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 15%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trival Valderas Galapagar
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 19 14
Draws 13 9
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 1.71 1.74
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Galapagar
2:2
Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Galapagar
2:2
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Trival Valderas
2:1
Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Trival Valderas
0:0
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Galapagar
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trival Valderas 30 / 100
Galapagar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trival Valderas Galapagar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trival Valderas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Trival Valderas scored in 83% of their last 35 outings.

Galapagar has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Trival Valderas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trival Valderas VS Galapagar
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Trival Valderas

(Home)
25 Oct
Leganes B
2 : 2
Trival Valderas
18 Oct
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Cala Pozuelo
11 Oct
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
04 Oct
Trival Valderas
2 : 1
CD Las Rozas
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2
Trival Valderas
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Galapagar

(Away)
25 Oct
Galapagar
4 : 1
RC Alcobendas
18 Oct
CD Mostoles
3 : 0
Galapagar
11 Oct
Leganes B
2 : 3
Galapagar
04 Oct
Galapagar
1 : 3
Cala Pozuelo
27 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 2
Galapagar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Mostoles 8 5 2 1 16:5 17
2 Colonia Moscardo 9 4 5 0 18:8 17
3 CD Las Rozas 8 5 2 1 20:12 17
4 Union Adarve 9 4 4 1 16:11 16
5 Pozuelo de Alarcon 9 4 3 2 14:16 15
6 Galapagar 8 4 2 2 17:14 14
7 Cala Pozuelo 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
8 Trival Valderas 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
9 Leganes B 8 3 2 3 15:12 11
10 AD Torrejon 8 3 1 4 11:7 10
11 CF Fuenlabrada 8 2 4 2 9:9 10
12 RC Alcobendas 8 2 2 4 14:17 8
13 Mexico 9 1 4 4 13:16 7
14 Real Aranjuez 8 1 4 3 12:16 7
15 CP Parla Escuela 8 1 4 3 10:15 7
16 San Sebastian Reyes B 8 2 1 5 14:21 7
17 Rayo Vallecano B 9 1 3 5 12:19 6
18 Siello 8 1 1 6 7:24 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)