Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trival Valderas vs Mexico

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Turegano J.
11' Event
Munoz I.
18' Event
Merchan G.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Trival Valderas and Mexico finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mexico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Trival Valderas
35%
Draws
25%
Mexico
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Trival Valderas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Trival Valderas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Trival Valderas's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 68%
Mexico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trival Valderas Mexico
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Trival Valderas
0:2
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Mexico
2:3
Apr 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Trival Valderas
1:2
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Mexico
1:2
Jan 29, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Mexico
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trival Valderas Compare

Top Goalscorer Turegano J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Merchan G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Mexico Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martin Bartolome D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trival Valderas 77 / 100
Mexico 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trival Valderas Mexico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trival Valderas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trival Valderas's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Mexico let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Trival Valderas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trival Valderas VS Mexico
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.29
63% Over 1.5 57%
25% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Trival Valderas

(Home)
13 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
0 : 0
Trival Valderas
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
14 Jun
Trival Valderas
0 : 0
La Nucia
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
Page 1 of 6

Mexico

(Away)
13 Sept
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Mexico
05 Sept
Mexico
0 : 0
CF Fuenlabrada
10 May
Leganes B
1 : 2
Mexico
03 May
Mexico
0 : 2
Trival Valderas
26 Apr
AD Torrejon
3 : 3
Mexico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)