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Trival Valderas vs Pozuelo de Alarcon

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Sacristan Belinchon M. A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 game between Trival Valderas and Pozuelo de Alarcon finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trival Valderas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Trival Valderas
44%
Draws
20%
Pozuelo de Alarcon
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Trival Valderas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 18%
Pozuelo de Alarcon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trival Valderas Pozuelo de Alarcon
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.75 2
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Trival Valderas
1:0
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
1:1
Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Trival Valderas
2:2
Jan 14, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trival Valderas Compare

Top Goalscorer Sacristan Belinchon M. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Pozuelo de Alarcon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trival Valderas 36 / 100
Pozuelo de Alarcon 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trival Valderas Pozuelo de Alarcon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Trival Valderas scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Pozuelo de Alarcon let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Trival Valderas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Trival Valderas VS Pozuelo de Alarcon
1.75 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.29
50% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Trival Valderas

(Home)
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
14 Jun
Trival Valderas
0 : 0
La Nucia
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
31 May
CD Las Rozas
1 : 1
Trival Valderas
24 May
Trival Valderas
1 : 1
Leganes B
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Pozuelo de Alarcon

(Away)
10 May
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 1
Tres Cantos
03 May
Carabanchel
3 : 2
Pozuelo de Alarcon
25 Apr
Pozuelo de Alarcon
2 : 0
CD Mostoles
19 Apr
San Sebastian Reyes B
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
12 Apr
Pozuelo de Alarcon
4 : 1
Ciudad de Madrid
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Madrid C341810683:4664
2Trival Valderas341861050:3660
3AD Torrejon34179857:4660
4CD Las Rozas341681058:4256
5Leganes B341591063:3354
6Union Adarve341581148:4253
7CD Mostoles341491151:4551
8San Sebastian Reyes B341213945:3549
9Pozuelo de Alarcon3412121040:3348
10Galapagar3411131042:4746
11Mexico341291345:4945
12Siello341351639:4544
13Alcorcon B3411111237:3444
14Villaverde San Andres3410131132:4443
15Carabanchel349111430:3638
16Tres Cantos341032140:6533
17Parla34762129:6627
18Ciudad de Madrid34572231:7622
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)