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Trival Valderas vs Siello

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Smith S.
47' Event
Rivero A.
53' Event
Martorell R.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 game between Trival Valderas and Siello finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trival Valderas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Trival Valderas
20%
Draws
48%
Siello
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Siello

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Siello haven't matched Trival Valderas's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Trival Valderas have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 19%
Siello Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trival Valderas Siello
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 21 10
Draws 10 5
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.72 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.26 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Siello
3:1
Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs Trival Valderas
1:2
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Siello
1:0
Apr 2, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs Trival Valderas
1:3
Nov 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Siello
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trival Valderas Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivero A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martorell R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.97
Avg xA / game 0.63

Siello Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trival Valderas 32 / 100
Siello 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trival Valderas Siello

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Trival Valderas scored in 86% of their last 36 outings.

Siello let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Trival Valderas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trival Valderas VS Siello
1.38 Goals Scored 2
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.14
50% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Trival Valderas

(Home)
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
14 Jun
Trival Valderas
0 : 0
La Nucia
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
31 May
CD Las Rozas
1 : 1
Trival Valderas
Page 1 of 8

Siello

(Away)
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
10 May
Siello
3 : 0
Carabanchel
03 May
CD Mostoles
3 : 5
Siello
26 Apr
Siello
2 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes B
19 Apr
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 1
Siello
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Alcobendas 1 1 0 0 5:2 3
2 Trival Valderas 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 CD Las Rozas 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Union Adarve 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
5 Leganes B 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
6 Colonia Moscardo 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Pozuelo de Alarcon 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Galapagar 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 CD Mostoles 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 CF Fuenlabrada 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Rayo Vallecano B 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
12 Mexico 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
13 AD Torrejon 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Cala Pozuelo 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
15 Siello 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
16 Real Aranjuez 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
17 San Sebastian Reyes B 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
18 CP Parla Escuela 1 0 0 1 2:5 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)