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Trival Valderas vs Siello - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Smith S.
47' Event
Rivero A.
53' Event
Martorell R.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 game between Trival Valderas and Siello finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trival Valderas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Trival Valderas
35%
Draws
9%
Siello
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Trival Valderas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Siello haven't matched Trival Valderas's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Trival Valderas's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Trival Valderas have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 68%
Siello Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trival Valderas Siello
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 11 5
Losses 2 15
Goals Scored 1.55 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Siello
3:1
Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs Trival Valderas
1:2
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Siello
1:0
Apr 2, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs Trival Valderas
1:3
Nov 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Siello
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trival Valderas Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivero A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martorell R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Siello Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trival Valderas 95 / 100
Siello 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trival Valderas Siello

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trival Valderas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Trival Valderas scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Siello let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Trival Valderas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trival Valderas VS Siello
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Trival Valderas

(Home)
01 Nov
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Galapagar
25 Oct
Leganes B
2 : 2
Trival Valderas
18 Oct
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Cala Pozuelo
11 Oct
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
04 Oct
Trival Valderas
2 : 1
CD Las Rozas
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Siello

(Away)
01 Nov
Siello
1 : 4
CP Parla Escuela
25 Oct
Siello
1 : 6
CD Mostoles
18 Oct
Union Adarve
4 : 0
Siello
11 Oct
Siello
1 : 1
AD Torrejon
04 Oct
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 0
Siello
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Mostoles 8 5 2 1 16:5 17
2 Colonia Moscardo 9 4 5 0 18:8 17
3 CD Las Rozas 8 5 2 1 20:12 17
4 Union Adarve 9 4 4 1 16:11 16
5 Galapagar 9 4 3 2 19:16 15
6 Pozuelo de Alarcon 9 4 3 2 14:16 15
7 Trival Valderas 9 3 5 1 14:11 14
8 Cala Pozuelo 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
9 AD Torrejon 9 4 1 4 15:8 13
10 Leganes B 8 3 2 3 15:12 11
11 CF Fuenlabrada 8 2 4 2 9:9 10
12 CP Parla Escuela 9 2 4 3 14:16 10
13 RC Alcobendas 8 2 2 4 14:17 8
14 Mexico 9 1 4 4 13:16 7
15 San Sebastian Reyes B 8 2 1 5 14:21 7
16 Real Aranjuez 9 1 4 4 13:20 7
17 Rayo Vallecano B 9 1 3 5 12:19 6
18 Siello 9 1 1 7 8:28 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)