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Trival Valderas vs Union Adarve

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Trival Valderas Logo

Trival Valderas

1 - 0
FT
Union Adarve Logo

Union Adarve

Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Sacristan Belinchon M. A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Trival Valderas and Union Adarve finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trival Valderas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Trival Valderas
35%
Draws
32%
Union Adarve
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Trival Valderas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 18%
Union Adarve Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trival Valderas Union Adarve
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 17 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.47 1.42
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Union Adarve
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Trival Valderas
0:2
Aug 10, 2022 Club Friendly
Trival Valderas vs Union Adarve
1:3
Apr 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Union Adarve
0:0
Nov 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Trival Valderas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trival Valderas Compare

Top Goalscorer Sacristan Belinchon M. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Union Adarve Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trival Valderas 32 / 100
Union Adarve 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trival Valderas Union Adarve

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trival Valderas found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Union Adarve let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Trival Valderas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trival Valderas VS Union Adarve
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Trival Valderas

(Home)
13 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
0 : 0
Trival Valderas
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
14 Jun
Trival Valderas
0 : 0
La Nucia
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
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Union Adarve

(Away)
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1
Colonia Moscardo
06 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes B
0 : 2
Union Adarve
30 Aug
Marchamalo
2 : 0
Union Adarve
27 Aug
Union Adarve
2 : 2
Getafe B
10 May
Union Adarve
5 : 0
Ciudad de Madrid
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)