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Trnje vs HNK Zadar

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Club Friendly 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Dreveljek

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2022 game between Trnje and HNK Zadar finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HNK Zadar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Trnje
30%
Draws
16%
HNK Zadar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trnje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • HNK Zadar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Trnje taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Trnje Clean Sheet 20%
HNK Zadar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trnje HNK Zadar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.53 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2022 Club Friendly
Trnje vs HNK Zadar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trnje Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

HNK Zadar Compare

Top Goalscorer Dreveljek
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trnje 58 / 100
HNK Zadar 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trnje HNK Zadar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trnje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Trnje scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Trnje has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

HNK Zadar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

HNK Zadar has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Trnje VS HNK Zadar
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Trnje

(Home)
26 Sept
Solin
3 : 1
Trnje
19 Sept
Trnje
0 : 1
Dragovoljac
12 Sept
Jarun
3 : 3
Trnje
05 Sept
Trnje
1 : 0
NK Koprivnica
28 Aug
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Trnje
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HNK Zadar

(Away)
25 Aug
Kustosija
3 : 1
HNK Zadar
01 Aug
Zagora
1 : 0
HNK Zadar
16 Jun
HNK Zadar
2 : 2
Segesta
09 Jun
Segesta
2 : 1
HNK Zadar
10 Feb
HNK Zadar
0 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
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