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Trois Bassins vs Marsouins

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1
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AI Match Summary

The Regionale 1 game between Trois Bassins and Marsouins finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trois Bassins.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Trois Bassins
6%
Draws
4%
Marsouins
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Trois Bassins

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Marsouins haven't matched Trois Bassins's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Trois Bassins a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Regionale 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Trois Bassins have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Trois Bassins Clean Sheet 20%
Marsouins Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trois Bassins Marsouins
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 0.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2025 Regionale 1
Trois Bassins vs Marsouins
3:1
Apr 27, 2025 Regionale 1
Marsouins vs Trois Bassins
1:4
Aug 21, 2022 Regionale 1
Marsouins vs Trois Bassins
0:1
May 1, 2022 Regionale 1
Trois Bassins vs Marsouins
3:2
Nov 7, 2021 Regionale 1
Trois Bassins vs Marsouins
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trois Bassins 85 / 100
Marsouins 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trois Bassins Marsouins

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Marsouins's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Marsouins registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Trois Bassins scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Trois Bassins VS Marsouins
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%