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Trois Bassins vs Saint-Denis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saint-Denis in this Regionale 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saint-Denis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Trois Bassins
20%
Draws
58%
Saint-Denis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saint-Denis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Saint-Denis have won more games recently than Trois Bassins.
  • Model gives Saint-Denis a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Saint-Denis have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Trois Bassins Clean Sheet 20%
Saint-Denis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trois Bassins Saint-Denis
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.97 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 Regionale 1
Saint-Denis vs Trois Bassins
4:0
Jun 1, 2025 Regionale 1
Trois Bassins vs Saint-Denis
1:2
Aug 25, 2024 Regionale 1
Trois Bassins vs Saint-Denis
1:3
Apr 14, 2024 Regionale 1
Saint-Denis vs Trois Bassins
2:1
Jul 2, 2023 Regionale 1
Trois Bassins vs Saint-Denis
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trois Bassins 10 / 100
Saint-Denis 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trois Bassins Saint-Denis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Denis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint-Denis has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Trois Bassins's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Trois Bassins has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Trois Bassins VS Saint-Denis
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Trois Bassins

(Home)
22 Nov
Dominicaine
2 : 0
Trois Bassins
09 Nov
Trois Bassins
2 : 1
Saint Louis
02 Nov
Piton Saint-Leu
1 : 0
Trois Bassins
19 Oct
Trois Bassins
1 : 2
Jeanne d'Arc
12 Oct
Saint-Denis
4 : 0
Trois Bassins
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Saint-Denis

(Away)
23 Nov
Piton Saint-Leu
1 : 0
Saint-Denis
09 Nov
Saint-Denis
2 : 2
Jeanne d'Arc
02 Nov
Tamponnaise
0 : 1
Saint-Denis
19 Oct
Sainte Rose
0 : 0
Saint-Denis
12 Oct
Saint-Denis
4 : 0
Trois Bassins
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