Sport Picks
Tromsdalen (TUIL) vs Sandefjord
Norway
NM Cup 2025/2026 TUIL arena, Tromsø 
Match Events
18'
18'
Pedersen A.
Assist: Eliassen A.
28'
28'
Aarflot E.
Assist: Selnes I. K.
46'
46'
Sub
Hansen M. In: Sandbukt A.
Out: Hansen M.
AI Match Summary
Tromsdalen (TUIL) in this NM Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 6-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sandefjord haven't matched Tromsdalen (TUIL)'s recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Tromsdalen (TUIL) have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sandefjord, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Tromsdalen (TUIL) Clean Sheet 12%
Sandefjord Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tromsdalen (TUIL) | Sandefjord |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2025 NM Cup
Tromsdalen (TUIL) vs Sandefjord
6:1
Aug 4, 2019 OBOS-ligaen
Sandefjord vs Tromsdalen (TUIL)
1:0
Apr 22, 2019 OBOS-ligaen
Tromsdalen (TUIL) vs Sandefjord
3:3
Sep 21, 2014 OBOS-ligaen
Tromsdalen (TUIL) vs Sandefjord
1:2
May 16, 2014 OBOS-ligaen
Sandefjord vs Tromsdalen (TUIL)
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tromsdalen (TUIL) Compare
Top Goalscorer Pedersen A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Aarflot E.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Sandefjord Compare
Top Goalscorer Berntsen B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 30 / 100
Sandefjord 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tromsdalen (TUIL) Sandefjord
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tromsdalen (TUIL) scored in 87% of their last 31 games.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Sandefjord has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Sandefjord's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Tromsdalen (TUIL) VS Sandefjord
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
(Home) 26 Jun
Eidsvold TF
2 : 1 Tromsdalen (TUIL)
20 Jun
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
2 : 4 Stjordals Blink
14 Jun
Lorenskog
6 : 0 Tromsdalen (TUIL)
31 May
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
2 : 0 Skeid
24 May
Trygg/Lade
1 : 2 Tromsdalen (TUIL)
Page 1 of 7
20 Jun
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
2 : 4 Stjordals Blink
31 May
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
2 : 0 Skeid
14 May
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
0 : 2 Grorud
10 May
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
0 : 3 Honefoss
25 Apr
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
2 : 1 Rana FK
Page 1 of 3
Sandefjord
(Away) 18 Jul
Viking
2 : 1 Sandefjord
12 Jul
Sandefjord
2 : 2 Ham-Kam
30 May
Molde
2 : 1 Sandefjord
25 May
Sandefjord
1 : 1 Fredrikstad
16 May
Lillestrom
3 : 1 Sandefjord
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Viking
2 : 1 Sandefjord
30 May
Molde
2 : 1 Sandefjord
16 May
Lillestrom
3 : 1 Sandefjord
26 Apr
Tromso
3 : 1 Sandefjord
12 Apr
Brann
0 : 1 Sandefjord
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Spjelkavik2
Brattvag4
Forde0
Hodd2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bryne-
Haugesund-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rosenborg-
Ulfstind4
Alta3
Finnsnes0
Tromsdalen (TUIL)8
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sandefjord-
Brann-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Asker3
Skeid0
Vestfossen1
Mjondalen5
Bjarg2
Sogndal0
Vidar1
V. Haugesund4
Gamle Oslo2
Eidsvold TF1
Baerum0
Stabaek5
Flint0
Eik-Tonsberg1
Vigor0
Start3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Viking-
Lysekloster3
Sandviken0
Gneist IL2
Asane3
Strindheim2
Stjordals Blink3
Traeff1
Aalesund4
Arendal3
Jerv2
Flekkeroy1
Egersund2
Follo6
Notodden2
Nordstrand1
Lyn3
Stromsgodset-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Molde-
Ull/Kisa0
Strommen2
Pors1
Odds BK3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bodo/Glimt-
Trygg/Lade2
Ranheim1
Nardo0
Levanger6
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ham-Kam-
Djerv 19193
Sotra2
Madla IL1
Sandnes Ulf2
Honefoss3
Raufoss0
Lorenskog1
Lillestrom4
Junkeren3
Rana FK1
Brumunddal1
Kongsvinger5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
KFUM Oslo-
Tromso-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kristiansund-
Valerenga-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Fredrikstad-
Kjelsas1
Grorud0
Rade0
Moss1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sarpsborg 08-
1/32-finals
Brattvag5
Hodd4
TBD-
Bryne-
Haugesund-
TBD-
TBD-
Rosenborg-
Ulfstind2
Tromsdalen (TUIL)5
TBD-
Sandefjord-
Brann-
TBD-
Asker1
Mjondalen4
Bjarg2
V. Haugesund1
Gamle Oslo1
Stabaek4
Eik-Tonsberg3
Start0
TBD-
Viking-
Lysekloster3
Asane0
Stjordals Blink1
Aalesund2
Arendal2
Egersund3
Follo0
Lyn2
Stromsgodset-
TBD-
TBD-
Molde-
Strommen2
Odds BK3
TBD-
Bodo/Glimt-
Trygg/Lade1
Levanger3
TBD-
Ham-Kam-
Djerv 19192
Sandnes Ulf6
Honefoss2
Lillestrom3
Junkeren0
Kongsvinger4
TBD-
KFUM Oslo-
Tromso-
TBD-
TBD-
Kristiansund-
Valerenga-
TBD-
TBD-
Fredrikstad-
Kjelsas2
Moss1
TBD-
Sarpsborg 08-
1/16-finals
Brattvag1
Bryne2
Haugesund1
Rosenborg4
Tromsdalen (TUIL)6
Sandefjord1
Brann5
Mjondalen1
Bjarg6
Stabaek1
Eik-Tonsberg0
Viking2
Lysekloster1
Aalesund3
Egersund3
Lyn2
Stromsgodset1
Molde2
Odds BK1
Bodo/Glimt3
Levanger1
Ham-Kam5
Sandnes Ulf1
Lillestrom2
Kongsvinger1
KFUM Oslo3
Tromso2
Kristiansund1
Valerenga1
Fredrikstad2
Kjelsas5
Sarpsborg 086
1/8-finals
Bryne4
Rosenborg2
Tromsdalen (TUIL)2
Brann3
Bjarg0
Viking3
Aalesund3
Egersund2
Molde1
Bodo/Glimt2
Ham-Kam0
Lillestrom2
KFUM Oslo2
Tromso1
Fredrikstad2
Sarpsborg 081
Quarter-finals
Bryne1
Brann2
Viking1
Aalesund2
Bodo/Glimt4
Lillestrom0
KFUM Oslo3
Fredrikstad2
Semi-finals
Brann2
Aalesund1
Bodo/Glimt2
KFUM Oslo1
Final
Brann3
Bodo/Glimt4