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Tromso 2 vs Finnsnes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Asefa R.
43' Event
Steffensen N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 3 - Group 5 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tromso 2
20%
Draws
29%
Finnsnes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tromso 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Finnsnes have won more games recently than Tromso 2.
  • Win probability leans Tromso 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Tromso 2 Clean Sheet 18%
Finnsnes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tromso 2 Finnsnes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 3
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.93 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Tromso 2 vs Finnsnes
1:1
May 10, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Finnsnes vs Tromso 2
3:1
Sep 29, 2021 Division 3 - Group 6
Tromso 2 vs Finnsnes
3:1
Sep 19, 2020 Division 3 - Group 6
Tromso 2 vs Finnsnes
0:0
Aug 3, 2020 Division 3 - Group 6
Tromso 2 vs Finnsnes
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tromso 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Steffensen N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Finnsnes Compare

Top Goalscorer Asefa R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tromso 2 85 / 100
Finnsnes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tromso 2 Finnsnes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tromso 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tromso 2 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Finnsnes let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Tromso 2 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tromso 2 VS Finnsnes
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tromso 2

(Home)
03 Oct
Tromso 2
1 : 1
Finnsnes
27 Sept
Fauske Sprint
0 : 3
Tromso 2
21 Sept
Tromso 2
6 : 0
Kongsvinger 2
14 Sept
Skjetten
3 : 2
Tromso 2
06 Sept
Tromso 2
0 : 1
Harstad
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Finnsnes

(Away)
03 Oct
Tromso 2
1 : 1
Finnsnes
26 Sept
Finnsnes
2 : 0
Skjervoy
20 Sept
Floya
3 : 1
Finnsnes
12 Sept
Finnsnes
1 : 2
Alta
06 Sept
Stromsgodset 2
5 : 1
Finnsnes
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