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Tromso 2 vs Harstad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Johnsen N.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 game between Tromso 2 and Harstad finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Harstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tromso 2
20%
Draws
40%
Harstad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Harstad come out ahead of Tromso 2 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tromso 2 a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Tromso 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Harstad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tromso 2 Harstad
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 2 3
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Tromso 2 vs Harstad
0:1
Apr 26, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Harstad vs Tromso 2
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Harstad vs Tromso 2
0:4
Mar 30, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Tromso 2 vs Harstad
2:5
Aug 21, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Tromso 2 vs Harstad
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tromso 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Harstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnsen N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tromso 2 83 / 100
Harstad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tromso 2 Harstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tromso 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tromso 2 found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Harstad conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Tromso 2 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tromso 2 VS Harstad
2.25 Goals Scored 3.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tromso 2

(Home)
11 Oct
Tromso 2
2 : 0
Lillestrom 2
03 Oct
Tromso 2
1 : 1
Finnsnes
27 Sept
Fauske Sprint
0 : 3
Tromso 2
21 Sept
Tromso 2
6 : 0
Kongsvinger 2
14 Sept
Skjetten
3 : 2
Tromso 2
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Harstad

(Away)
11 Oct
Fauske Sprint
2 : 4
Harstad
04 Oct
Harstad
2 : 2
Skedsmo
27 Sept
Kongsvinger 2
2 : 1
Harstad
19 Sept
Harstad
3 : 1
Skjetten
12 Sept
Harstad
6 : 1
Ulfstind
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