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Tromso 3 vs Skarp

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 12
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Skarp in this Division 3 - Group 12 matchup, with the score ending 4-8 — backing the pre-match view that favored Skarp.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Tromso 3
20%
Draws
36%
Skarp
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tromso 3

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Skarp lately — more wins on the board than Tromso 3.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Tromso 3 taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 12 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Tromso 3 Clean Sheet 16%
Skarp Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tromso 3 Skarp
Matches Played 21 39
Wins 7 14
Draws 1 10
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.76 2.28
Goals Conceded 2.57 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2016 Division 3 - Group 12
Tromso 3 vs Skarp
4:8
Apr 29, 2016 Division 3 - Group 12
Skarp vs Tromso 3
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tromso 3 57 / 100
Skarp 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tromso 3 Skarp

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tromso 3 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skarp has conceded goals in 90% of their last 39 outings.

Games between these two average 7.50 goals.

Tromso 3's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Tromso 3 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Skarp
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tromso 3

(Home)
08 Oct
Tromso 3
2 : 1
HIF Stein
01 Oct
Skjervoy
6 : 0
Tromso 3
24 Sept
Tromso 3
1 : 2
Bossekop
21 Sept
Alta 2
4 : 1
Tromso 3
07 Sept
Tromso 3
3 : 1
Tverrelvdalen
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Skarp

(Away)
27 Oct
Finnsnes
1 : 1
Skarp
20 Oct
Skarp
3 : 3
Korsvoll
14 Oct
Lyn
7 : 1
Skarp
06 Oct
Skarp
3 : 1
Sortland
30 Sept
Grei
3 : 0
Skarp
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