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Tromso U19 vs Sarpsborg 08 U19

Norway Norway

Nasjonal U19 CL
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Olai Nilsen L.
51' Event
Bjerkaas E.
61' Event
Bakkenget M.

AI Match Summary

Tromso U19 in this Nasjonal U19 CL matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tromso U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Tromso U19
15%
Draws
39%
Sarpsborg 08 U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tromso U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Tromso U19 have won more games recently than Sarpsborg 08 U19.
  • Win probability leans Tromso U19's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 36%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Tromso U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Sarpsborg 08 U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tromso U19 Sarpsborg 08 U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 3 3
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2.07 2.4
Goals Conceded 2 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.60 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Nasjonal U19 CL
Tromso U19 vs Sarpsborg 08 U19
3:2
Jul 14, 2011 Junior Elite Tournament
Sarpsborg 08 U19 vs Tromso U19
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tromso U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Olai Nilsen L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bjerkaas E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2
Avg xA / game 1.3

Sarpsborg 08 U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakkenget M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eidal M. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tromso U19 34 / 100
Sarpsborg 08 U19 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tromso U19 Sarpsborg 08 U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tromso U19 scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Sarpsborg 08 U19 conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Tromso U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tromso U19 VS Sarpsborg 08 U19
2.63 Goals Scored 2.86
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.57
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 86%

Recent Form & Match History

Tromso U19

(Home)
26 Aug
Lillestrom U19
4 : 1
Tromso U19
20 Aug
Tromso U19
1 : 3
Lillestrom U19
05 Aug
Tromso U19
2 : 1
Stromsgodset U19
29 Jul
Stromsgodset U19
1 : 1
Tromso U19
15 Apr
Bodo/Glimt U19
1 : 2
Tromso U19
Page 1 of 6

Sarpsborg 08 U19

(Away)
30 Apr
Sarpsborg 08 U19
1 : 2
Fredrikstad U19
22 Mar
Sarpsborg 08 U19
1 : 3
Aalesund U19
15 Mar
Start U19
0 : 4
Sarpsborg 08 U19
07 Mar
Tromso U19
3 : 2
Sarpsborg 08 U19
28 Feb
Sarpsborg 08 U19
5 : 1
Moss U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lillestrom U19 6 4 2 0 21:11 14
2 Stabaek U19 6 4 1 1 24:9 13
3 Ham-Kam U19 6 4 1 1 19:9 13
4 Brann U19 6 4 1 1 19:13 13
5 Lyn U19 6 4 1 1 18:12 13
6 Rosenborg U19 6 4 0 2 24:13 12
7 Sandefjord U19 6 4 0 2 14:8 12
8 Tromso U19 6 4 0 2 16:14 12
9 Stromsgodset U19 6 3 2 1 23:10 11
10 Asane U19 6 3 1 2 20:14 10
11 Molde U19 6 3 1 2 20:16 10
12 Viking U19 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
13 Valerenga U19 6 3 1 2 16:15 10
14 Odds BK U19 6 3 0 3 21:13 9
15 Sarpsborg 08 U19 6 3 0 3 19:16 9
16 Haugesund U19 6 3 0 3 16:15 9
17 Aalesund U19 6 3 0 3 10:15 9
18 Fredrikstad U19 6 2 2 2 9:12 8
19 Kfum Oslo U19 6 2 2 2 11:17 8
20 Kongsvinger U19 6 2 1 3 14:12 7
21 Kristiansund U19 6 1 1 4 12:22 4
22 Moss U19 6 1 1 4 12:28 4
23 Sogndal U19 6 1 1 4 10:26 4
24 Sandnes Ulf U19 6 1 0 5 6:24 3
25 Bodo/Glimt U19 6 0 2 4 11:17 2
26 Start U19 6 0 1 5 6:18 1
27 Bryne U19 6 0 1 5 11:26 1
Promotion - Nasjonal U19 CL (Play Offs)