Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tromso vs Sandefjord

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Romssa Arena, Tromsø
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Larsen H.
28' Event
Skjaervik V.
Assist: Jenssen R.
38'
Sub
Dunsby J. In: Berntsen B.
Out: Dunsby J.

AI Match Summary

Tromso in this Eliteserien matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tromso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tromso
6%
Draws
4%
Sandefjord
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tromso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tromso lately — more wins on the board than Sandefjord.
  • Model gives Tromso a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Tromso Clean Sheet 20%
Sandefjord Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tromso Sandefjord
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Sandefjord
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Tromso
1:0
May 4, 2025 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Sandefjord
0:1
Sep 22, 2024 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Sandefjord
3:0
Jul 3, 2024 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Tromso
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tromso Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsen H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Skjaervik V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Sandefjord Compare

Top Goalscorer Patoulidis E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tromso 85 / 100
Sandefjord 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tromso Sandefjord

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tromso's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sandefjord conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Tromso went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tromso VS Sandefjord
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tromso

(Home)
23 Jul
Tromso
0 : 1
Hradec Kralove
18 Jul
Ham-Kam
1 : 4
Tromso
11 Jul
Tromso
4 : 0
Valerenga
25 Jun
Tromso
4 : 1
Orgryte
29 May
KFUM Oslo
0 : 0
Tromso
Page 1 of 6

Sandefjord

(Away)
26 Jul
Sandefjord
0 : 3
Bodo/Glimt
18 Jul
Viking
2 : 1
Sandefjord
12 Jul
Sandefjord
2 : 2
Ham-Kam
30 May
Molde
2 : 1
Sandefjord
25 May
Sandefjord
1 : 1
Fredrikstad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bodo/Glimt15112237:1135
2Viking14111234:1434
3Tromso1594226:1531
4Lillestrom1481522:1425
5Molde1472525:1923
6Sarpsborg 081463515:1621
7Valerenga1462622:2420
8Brann1561830:2519
9Rosenborg1453619:1818
10Ham-Kam1453620:2618
11Sandefjord1443713:2015
12Fredrikstad1442815:2714
13Aalesund1427519:2913
14KFUM Oslo1433815:2512
15Kristiansund1433812:2312
16Start1524916:3410
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)