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Tronder-Lyn vs Kristiansund 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Alemseged A.

AI Match Summary

Kristiansund 2 in this Division 3 - Group 5 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kristiansund 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Tronder-Lyn
15%
Draws
59%
Kristiansund 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kristiansund 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Tronder-Lyn at 1.68 per game, Kristiansund 2 at 0.91.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Kristiansund 2 taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Tronder-Lyn Clean Sheet 20%
Kristiansund 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tronder-Lyn Kristiansund 2
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 6 6
Draws 4 11
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.68 0.91
Goals Conceded 2.93 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Kristiansund 2 vs Tronder-Lyn
4:1
Jul 22, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Tronder-Lyn vs Kristiansund 2
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tronder-Lyn Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Kristiansund 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Alemseged A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tronder-Lyn 10 / 100
Kristiansund 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tronder-Lyn Kristiansund 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kristiansund 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tronder-Lyn scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Kristiansund 2 let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Tronder-Lyn went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tronder-Lyn VS Kristiansund 2
0 Goals Scored 0.88
5 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tronder-Lyn

(Home)
22 Aug
Tronder-Lyn
0 : 5
Kristiansund
29 Oct
Kristiansund 2
4 : 1
Tronder-Lyn
22 Oct
Tronder-Lyn
3 : 2
Tiller
14 Oct
Nardo
3 : 2
Tronder-Lyn
07 Oct
Tronder-Lyn
1 : 6
Steinkjer
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Kristiansund 2

(Away)
25 Oct
Kristiansund 2
1 : 1
Aalesund 2
18 Oct
Spjelkavik
1 : 0
Kristiansund 2
11 Oct
Surnadal
2 : 3
Kristiansund 2
05 Oct
Kristiansund 2
1 : 0
Trygg/Lade
29 Sept
Byasen
1 : 0
Kristiansund 2
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