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Tropical Coriano vs Imolese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Pacchioni G.
90' Event
Malo A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 game between Tropical Coriano and Imolese finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tropical Coriano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tropical Coriano
20%
Draws
40%
Imolese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Imolese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tropical Coriano are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Tropical Coriano Clean Sheet 20%
Imolese Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tropical Coriano Imolese
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.83 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Tropical Coriano vs Imolese
2:0
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Tropical Coriano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tropical Coriano Compare

Top Goalscorer Pacchioni G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Malo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Imolese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tropical Coriano 36 / 100
Imolese 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tropical Coriano Imolese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tropical Coriano scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Imolese has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Imolese lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tropical Coriano VS Imolese
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tropical Coriano

(Home)
20 Sept
Oltrepo
0 : 1
Tropical Coriano
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2
Lentigione
12 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
1 : 0
Tropical Coriano
06 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 1
Varese FC
10 May
Crema
2 : 0
Tropical Coriano
Page 1 of 6

Imolese

(Away)
10 May
Imolese
0 : 2
Sasso Marconi
03 May
Imolese
1 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1
Imolese
19 Apr
Imolese
0 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
12 Apr
Tropical Coriano
2 : 0
Imolese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)