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Tropical Coriano vs Pro Palazzolo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Capone A.
(Penalty)
52' Event
Enchisi L.
54' Event
Pinardi N.

AI Match Summary

Pro Palazzolo in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pro Palazzolo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Tropical Coriano
20%
Draws
51%
Pro Palazzolo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pro Palazzolo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Pro Palazzolo have won more games recently than Tropical Coriano.
  • Model gives Tropical Coriano a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tropical Coriano Clean Sheet 20%
Pro Palazzolo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tropical Coriano Pro Palazzolo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0.83 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Pro Palazzolo vs Tropical Coriano
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Tropical Coriano vs Pro Palazzolo
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tropical Coriano Compare

Top Goalscorer Enchisi L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barbatosta D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Pro Palazzolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinardi N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Minessi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tropical Coriano 36 / 100
Pro Palazzolo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tropical Coriano Pro Palazzolo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Tropical Coriano scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Pro Palazzolo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Tropical Coriano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tropical Coriano VS Pro Palazzolo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tropical Coriano

(Home)
20 Sept
Oltrepo
0 : 1
Tropical Coriano
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2
Lentigione
12 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
1 : 0
Tropical Coriano
06 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 1
Varese FC
10 May
Crema
2 : 0
Tropical Coriano
Page 1 of 6

Pro Palazzolo

(Away)
27 Sept
Scanzorosciate
1 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
20 Sept
Pro Palazzolo
0 : 1
Nibbiano & Valtidone
16 Sept
Fiorenzuola
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
12 Sept
Pro Palazzolo
2 : 0
AC Milan U23
06 Sept
Real Calepina
5 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)