Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026

Troszyn

3 - 0

Suwalki

Our Tip

Match Events

Klosinski M.

32'

Tyska J.

55'

Domanski J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Troszyn and Suwalki finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Troszyn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Troszyn

39%

Draws

30%

Suwalki

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Troszyn haven't matched Suwalki's recent run of results.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Troszyn Clean Sheet 17%

Suwalki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Troszyn	Suwalki
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	16	17
Draws	6	4
Losses	8	8
Goals Scored	1.88	1.75
Goals Conceded	1	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 III Liga - Group I

Troszyn vs Suwalki

Possession: 45% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

3:0

Aug 23, 2025 III Liga - Group I

Suwalki vs Troszyn

Possession: 40% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Troszyn Compare

Top Goalscorer Klosinski M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Tyska J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Suwalki Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troszyn 31 / 100

Suwalki 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Troszyn Suwalki

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIG Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Troszyn scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Suwalki has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Troszyn went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Troszyn VS Suwalki

1.88 Goals Scored 1.75

1 Goals Conceded 0.75

88% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Legia II	34	27	3	4	82:29	84
2	LKS Lomza	34	22	5	7	77:31	71
3	Warta Sieradz	34	21	8	5	64:34	71
4	Suwalki	34	20	5	9	64:43	65
5	Troszyn	34	17	6	11	75:47	57
6	Plock II	34	16	8	10	56:51	56
7	Widzew Lodz II	34	17	3	14	70:64	54
8	Jagiellonia II	34	14	7	13	46:45	49
9	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	13	8	13	64:55	47
10	Zabkovia Zabki	34	13	5	16	72:64	44
11	Swit Mazowiecki	34	12	5	17	51:66	41
12	MKS Mlawa	34	11	7	16	55:59	40
13	Olimpia Elblag	34	10	8	16	45:61	38
14	GKS Wikielec	34	10	7	17	40:54	37
15	Bron Radom	34	9	9	16	40:57	36
16	GKS Belchatow	34	9	7	18	50:76	34
17	Wasilkow	34	7	4	23	40:79	25
18	Znicz Biala Piska	34	4	3	27	27:103	15