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Troyan vs OFK Levski

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West 2025/2026 game between Troyan and OFK Levski finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward OFK Levski.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Troyan
15%
Draws
59%
OFK Levski
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: OFK Levski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • OFK Levski carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Troyan Clean Sheet 12%
OFK Levski Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troyan OFK Levski
Matches Played 22 29
Wins 5 8
Draws 1 6
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.91 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Third League - North-West
OFK Levski vs Troyan
3:1
Nov 1, 2025 Third League - North-West
Troyan vs OFK Levski
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troyan 30 / 100
OFK Levski 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troyan OFK Levski

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OFK Levski Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

OFK Levski let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Troyan scored in 50% of their last 22 games.

Recent resilience: Troyan stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Troyan VS OFK Levski
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Troyan

(Home)
23 May
OFK Levski
3 : 1
Troyan
16 May
Troyan
1 : 0
Yantra Polski Trambesh
09 May
Troyan
0 : 1
Pavlikeni
03 May
Kom Berkovitsa
4 : 1
Troyan
25 Apr
Troyan
1 : 4
Lokomotiv Mezdra
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OFK Levski

(Away)
12 Sept
Sevlievo
2 : 0
OFK Levski
05 Sept
OFK Levski
0 : 0
Chavdar Troyan
22 Aug
Pavlikeni
1 : 0
OFK Levski
23 May
OFK Levski
3 : 1
Troyan
16 May
Pavlikeni
1 : 2
OFK Levski
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 22 19 1 2 62:20 58
2 Akademik Svishtov 22 17 3 2 40:11 54
3 Kom Berkovitsa 22 13 6 3 46:22 45
4 Bdin Vidin 22 14 1 7 57:26 43
5 Partizan Cerven Brjag 22 8 6 8 25:25 30
6 Pavlikeni 22 9 3 10 29:24 30
7 Etar II 22 8 5 9 32:31 29
8 Yantra Polski Trambesh 22 6 6 10 37:47 24
9 OFK Levski 22 6 5 11 32:35 23
10 Troyan 22 5 1 16 20:56 16
11 Juventus Malchika 22 2 1 19 14:72 4
12 FC Lovech 22 6 0 16 18:43 18
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