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Troyan vs Partizan Cerven Brjag

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Troyan in this Third League - North-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Troyan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Troyan
20%
Draws
58%
Partizan Cerven Brjag
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Partizan Cerven Brjag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Troyan haven't matched Partizan Cerven Brjag's recent run of results.
  • Partizan Cerven Brjag are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Troyan Clean Sheet 10%
Partizan Cerven Brjag Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troyan Partizan Cerven Brjag
Matches Played 22 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 1 9
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.91 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.01 1.87
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Third League - North-West
Troyan vs Partizan Cerven Brjag
2:0
Sep 6, 2025 Third League - North-West
Partizan Cerven Brjag vs Troyan
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troyan 18 / 100
Partizan Cerven Brjag 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troyan Partizan Cerven Brjag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Partizan Cerven Brjag Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Partizan Cerven Brjag has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Troyan scored in 50% of their last 22 outings.

Troyan went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Troyan VS Partizan Cerven Brjag
1.14 Goals Scored 1.88
1.86 Goals Conceded 0.88
57% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 63%
57% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Troyan

(Home)
23 May
OFK Levski
3 : 1
Troyan
16 May
Troyan
1 : 0
Yantra Polski Trambesh
09 May
Troyan
0 : 1
Pavlikeni
03 May
Kom Berkovitsa
4 : 1
Troyan
25 Apr
Troyan
1 : 4
Lokomotiv Mezdra
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Partizan Cerven Brjag

(Away)
04 Oct
Spartak Pleven II
1 : 0
Partizan Cerven Brjag
26 Sept
Partizan Cerven Brjag
2 : 2
Lokomotiv Mezdra
19 Sept
Yantra Polski Trambesh
2 : 2
Partizan Cerven Brjag
12 Sept
Partizan Cerven Brjag
1 : 0
Etar II
29 Aug
Juventus Malchika
0 : 3
Partizan Cerven Brjag
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 22 19 1 2 62:20 58
2 Akademik Svishtov 22 17 3 2 40:11 54
3 Kom Berkovitsa 22 13 6 3 46:22 45
4 Bdin Vidin 22 14 1 7 57:26 43
5 Partizan Cerven Brjag 22 8 6 8 25:25 30
6 Pavlikeni 22 9 3 10 29:24 30
7 Etar II 22 8 5 9 32:31 29
8 Yantra Polski Trambesh 22 6 6 10 37:47 24
9 OFK Levski 22 6 5 11 32:35 23
10 Troyan 22 5 1 16 20:56 16
11 Juventus Malchika 22 2 1 19 14:72 4
12 FC Lovech 22 6 0 16 18:43 18
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)