Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Troyes vs Boulogne

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Monfray A.
47' Event
Bentayeb T.
Assist: Titi Y.
62'
Gourville S.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Troyes and Boulogne finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Troyes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Troyes
6%
Draws
4%
Boulogne
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Troyes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Boulogne haven't matched Troyes's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Troyes a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Troyes Clean Sheet 20%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troyes Boulogne
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 19 10
Draws 3 9
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Boulogne
1:0
Dec 15, 2025 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Troyes
1:2
Apr 27, 2012 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Boulogne
2:1
Dec 20, 2011 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Troyes
2:0
Mar 18, 2011 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Troyes
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Troyes Compare

Top Goalscorer Bentayeb T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Boulogne Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troyes 85 / 100
Boulogne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troyes Boulogne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Troyes scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Boulogne has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Troyes stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Troyes VS Boulogne
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Troyes

(Home)
25 Jul
Grenoble
0 : 3
Troyes
18 Jul
Troyes
1 : 0
Red Star
11 Jul
Nancy
1 : 3
Troyes
09 May
Grenoble
1 : 0
Troyes
02 May
Troyes
4 : 0
Laval
Page 1 of 6

Boulogne

(Away)
25 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Rouen
24 Jul
Amiens SC
0 : 1
Boulogne
18 Jul
Lens
4 : 1
Boulogne
15 Jul
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2
Boulogne
08 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Versailles
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Troyes34207760:3367
2Le Mans341614450:3162
3St Etienne341861059:3860
4Red Star341610845:3758
5Rodez341513645:3958
6Reims341414653:3556
7Annecy341571249:3952
8Montpellier341491141:3151
9Pau341291348:6245
10Dunkerque3411101353:4543
11Guingamp3410101442:4940
12Grenoble348151133:3939
13Clermont349101538:4437
14Nancy349101535:5237
15Boulogne34991634:4936
16Laval346141430:4832
17Bastia345131623:3928
18Amiens SC34662237:6524
19AC Ajaccio00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)