Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Troyes vs Boulogne

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Monfray A.
47' Event
Bentayeb T.
Assist: Titi Y.
62'
Gourville S.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Troyes and Boulogne finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Troyes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Troyes
35%
Draws
29%
Boulogne
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Troyes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Boulogne haven't matched Troyes's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Troyes Clean Sheet 20%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troyes Boulogne
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 5 12
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.82 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Boulogne
1:0
Dec 15, 2025 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Troyes
1:2
Apr 27, 2012 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Boulogne
2:1
Dec 20, 2011 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Troyes
2:0
Mar 18, 2011 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Troyes
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Troyes Compare

Top Goalscorer Bentayeb T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Boulogne Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troyes 32 / 100
Boulogne 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troyes Boulogne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boulogne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Troyes scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Troyes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Boulogne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Troyes VS Boulogne
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Troyes

(Home)
13 Sept
Lille
2 : 0
Troyes
06 Sept
Troyes
2 : 6
Strasbourg
29 Aug
Lorient
1 : 2
Troyes
22 Aug
Troyes
0 : 0
Paris FC
14 Aug
Troyes
1 : 1
Panetolikos
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Boulogne

(Away)
11 Sept
Clermont
0 : 0
Boulogne
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1
Dijon
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0
Boulogne
21 Aug
Boulogne
1 : 1
Red Star
14 Aug
Guingamp
1 : 0
Boulogne
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Troyes 34 20 7 7 60:33 67
2 Le Mans 34 16 14 4 50:31 62
3 St Etienne 34 18 6 10 59:38 60
4 Red Star 34 16 10 8 45:37 58
5 Rodez 34 15 13 6 45:39 58
6 Reims 34 14 14 6 53:35 56
7 Annecy 34 15 7 12 49:39 52
8 Montpellier 34 14 9 11 41:31 51
9 Pau 34 12 9 13 48:62 45
10 Dunkerque 34 11 10 13 53:45 43
11 Guingamp 34 10 10 14 42:49 40
12 Grenoble 34 8 15 11 33:39 39
13 Clermont 34 9 10 15 38:44 37
14 Nancy 34 9 10 15 35:52 37
15 Boulogne 34 9 9 16 34:49 36
16 Laval 34 6 14 14 30:48 32
17 Bastia 34 5 13 16 23:39 28
18 Amiens SC 34 6 6 22 37:65 24
19 AC Ajaccio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)