Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Troyes vs Laval

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Mille A.
Assist: Adeline M.
22' Event
Diawara K.
Assist: Mille A.
49' Event
Adeline M.
Assist: Mille A.

AI Match Summary

Troyes in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Troyes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Troyes
30%
Draws
31%
Laval
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Troyes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Troyes have won more games recently than Laval.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Troyes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Troyes Clean Sheet 16%
Laval Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troyes Laval
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 5 10
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.82 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Laval
4:0
Nov 21, 2025 Ligue 2
Laval vs Troyes
0:1
Jan 24, 2025 Ligue 2
Laval vs Troyes
1:0
Nov 1, 2024 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Laval
0:0
May 10, 2024 Ligue 2
Laval vs Troyes
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Troyes Compare

Top Goalscorer Diawara K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mille A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Laval Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troyes 36 / 100
Laval 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troyes Laval

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Laval's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Troyes's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Troyes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Troyes VS Laval
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Troyes

(Home)
13 Sept
Lille
2 : 0
Troyes
06 Sept
Troyes
2 : 6
Strasbourg
29 Aug
Lorient
1 : 2
Troyes
22 Aug
Troyes
0 : 0
Paris FC
14 Aug
Troyes
1 : 1
Panetolikos
Page 1 of 6

Laval

(Away)
11 Sept
Dijon
3 : 2
Laval
04 Sept
Laval
1 : 2
Red Star
28 Aug
Laval
0 : 3
Grenoble
22 Aug
Metz
1 : 1
Laval
14 Aug
Laval
2 : 1
Nantes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Troyes 34 20 7 7 60:33 67
2 Le Mans 34 16 14 4 50:31 62
3 St Etienne 34 18 6 10 59:38 60
4 Red Star 34 16 10 8 45:37 58
5 Rodez 34 15 13 6 45:39 58
6 Reims 34 14 14 6 53:35 56
7 Annecy 34 15 7 12 49:39 52
8 Montpellier 34 14 9 11 41:31 51
9 Pau 34 12 9 13 48:62 45
10 Dunkerque 34 11 10 13 53:45 43
11 Guingamp 34 10 10 14 42:49 40
12 Grenoble 34 8 15 11 33:39 39
13 Clermont 34 9 10 15 38:44 37
14 Nancy 34 9 10 15 35:52 37
15 Boulogne 34 9 9 16 34:49 36
16 Laval 34 6 14 14 30:48 32
17 Bastia 34 5 13 16 23:39 28
18 Amiens SC 34 6 6 22 37:65 24
19 AC Ajaccio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)