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Troyes vs Le Havre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Troyes host Le Havre in the Ligue 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Troyes at 1.75 goals for, 1.21 against; Le Havre at 1.21 for, 1.64 against. Head-to-head, Troyes have won 2 to Le Havre's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 20, 2022, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 2.00, favoring Troyes. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Troyes
20%
Draws
30%
Le Havre
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Troyes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Troyes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Troyes Clean Sheet 10%
Le Havre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troyes Le Havre
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 4
Draws 7 9
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2022 Club Friendly
Le Havre vs Troyes
0:3
May 15, 2021 Ligue 2
Le Havre vs Troyes
3:2
Aug 24, 2020 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Le Havre
2:0
Jan 27, 2020 Ligue 2
Le Havre vs Troyes
1:0
Aug 9, 2019 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Le Havre
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troyes 29 / 100
Le Havre 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troyes Le Havre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Troyes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Havre let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Troyes's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Troyes went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Troyes VS Le Havre
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Troyes

(Home)
31 Oct
Troyes
2 : 0
Le Mans
25 Oct
Toulouse
0 : 0
Troyes
17 Oct
Troyes
1 : 3
Lens
11 Oct
Troyes
0 : 2
Marseille
02 Oct
Dijon
2 : 2
Troyes
Page 1 of 6

Le Havre

(Away)
30 Oct
Le Havre
1 : 5
PSG
25 Oct
Marseille
4 : 3
Le Havre
18 Oct
Le Havre
1 : 3
Auxerre
10 Oct
Lille
1 : 0
Le Havre
02 Oct
Le Havre
6 : 1
Boulogne
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
2 Lille 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
3 Lyon 9 5 2 2 15:7 17
4 Paris FC 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
5 Rennes 9 5 1 3 20:19 16
6 Marseille 9 5 0 4 20:13 15
7 Monaco 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Nice 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
9 Lens 9 4 1 4 16:13 13
10 Brest 9 3 3 3 16:12 12
11 Lorient 9 3 3 3 7:8 12
12 Toulouse 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
13 Strasbourg 9 3 1 5 17:19 10
14 Auxerre 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
15 Angers 9 2 2 5 9:17 8
16 Troyes 9 2 2 5 7:16 8
17 Le Mans 9 1 4 4 11:18 7
18 Le Havre 9 0 2 7 9:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)