Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Troyes host Marseille in the Ligue 1. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Troyes have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.36 conceded recently, against Marseille's 1.53 scored and 1.73 conceded. Head-to-head, Troyes have won 0 to Marseille's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 16, 2023, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.88) point toward Troyes. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Troyes lately — more wins on the board than Marseille.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Marseille have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Troyes | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Marseille let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Difficult form: Marseille registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Troyes scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Troyes
(Home)Marseille
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Lyon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:2 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 5 | Rennes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 6 | PSG | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 8 |
| 7 | Angers | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 9 | Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 11 | Brest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 12 | Lorient | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 5 |
| 14 | Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 5 |
| 15 | Lens | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 4 |
| 16 | Troyes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | 4 |
| 17 | Marseille | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 2 |
