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Troyes vs Red Star - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Batola C.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Troyes and Red Star finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Troyes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Troyes
20%
Draws
57%
Red Star
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Red Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Troyes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Red Star taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Troyes have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Troyes Clean Sheet 14%
Red Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troyes Red Star
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 16 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.84 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Troyes vs Red Star
1:0
Jan 3, 2026 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Red Star
1:0
Sep 23, 2025 Ligue 2
Red Star vs Troyes
1:3
Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Red Star vs Troyes
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Red Star
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Troyes Compare

Top Goalscorer Batola C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Red Star Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troyes 15 / 100
Red Star 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troyes Red Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Red Star Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Troyes scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Red Star has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Troyes went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Troyes VS Red Star
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Troyes

(Home)
02 Oct
Dijon
2 : 2
Troyes
19 Sept
Angers
2 : 0
Troyes
13 Sept
Lille
2 : 0
Troyes
06 Sept
Troyes
2 : 6
Strasbourg
29 Aug
Lorient
1 : 2
Troyes
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Red Star

(Away)
19 Sept
Guingamp
1 : 3
Red Star
14 Sept
Red Star
1 : 0
Metz
04 Sept
Laval
1 : 2
Red Star
29 Aug
Red Star
1 : 4
Reims
21 Aug
Boulogne
1 : 1
Red Star
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