Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trstenik vs FK Moravac

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East 2019/2020
Wed, Apr 8, 2020
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Trstenik host FK Moravac in the Srpska Liga - East 2019/2020. This has Trstenik written all over it on paper. FK Moravac have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Trstenik have conceded 0.63 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Trstenik slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 28, 2021, ending 7:0. Model xG sits at 1.35 vs 0.81, favoring Trstenik. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Trstenik
15%
Draws
0%
FK Moravac
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trstenik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Moravac haven't matched Trstenik's recent run of results.
  • Trstenik are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Trstenik Clean Sheet 20%
FK Moravac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trstenik FK Moravac
Matches Played 40 33
Wins 18 4
Draws 8 0
Losses 14 29
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2021 Srpska Liga - East
Trstenik vs FK Moravac
7:0
Oct 10, 2020 Srpska Liga - East
FK Moravac vs Trstenik
2:5
Apr 8, 2020 Srpska Liga - East
Trstenik vs FK Moravac
0:0
Sep 21, 2019 Srpska Liga - East
FK Moravac vs Trstenik
2:1
Jun 9, 2019 Srpska Liga - East
FK Moravac vs Trstenik
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trstenik 85 / 100
FK Moravac 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trstenik FK Moravac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Moravac let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: FK Moravac registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Trstenik found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (40 games).

Scoring Trends

Trstenik VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trstenik

(Home)
14 Jun
Trstenik
9 : 1
Rudar 2016
07 Jun
Rembas
0 : 1
Trstenik
31 May
Brzi Brod
4 : 1
Trstenik
23 May
Trstenik
1 : 0
Morava Cuprija
16 May
Timok
3 : 0
Trstenik
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FK Moravac

(Away)
06 Jun
FK Moravac
3 : 6
Zupa
30 May
Rembas
3 : 0
FK Moravac
22 May
FK Moravac
0 : 9
Radan Lebane
19 May
Timocanin
10 : 2
FK Moravac
15 May
FK Moravac
2 : 7
Medosevac
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jagodina 17 12 3 2 32:11 39
2 Buducnost Popovac 17 9 7 1 27:6 34
3 Sindjelic 17 10 3 4 27:15 33
4 Toplicanin 17 9 4 4 23:14 31
5 SFS Borac 17 8 6 3 23:14 30
6 Vlasina 17 7 8 2 28:16 29
7 Timocanin 17 7 6 4 22:17 27
8 Radan Lebane 17 7 4 6 29:18 25
9 FK Moravac 17 7 3 7 21:22 24
10 Dunav Prahovo 17 6 5 6 21:17 23
11 Car Konstantin 17 6 4 7 18:26 22
12 Dubocica 17 6 4 7 22:22 19
13 Rembas 17 3 6 8 24:31 15
14 Jedinstvo Bosnjace 17 4 2 11 15:29 14
15 Trstenik 17 1 1 15 15:46 4
16 Temnic 17 1 0 16 9:52 3
Promotion - Prva Liga 2020/2021 (Main)