Sport Picks

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Trstenik vs Pukovac

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - East 2017/2018 game between Trstenik and Pukovac finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Trstenik
15%
Draws
21%
Pukovac
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trstenik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Trstenik come out ahead of Pukovac on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Trstenik taking it.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - East 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Trstenik Clean Sheet 20%
Pukovac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trstenik Pukovac
Matches Played 37 32
Wins 15 5
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 1.59 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2019 Srpska Liga - East
Pukovac vs Trstenik
2:2
Sep 8, 2018 Srpska Liga - East
Trstenik vs Pukovac
4:0
Jun 3, 2018 Srpska Liga - East
Trstenik vs Pukovac
3:3
Nov 19, 2017 Srpska Liga - East
Pukovac vs Trstenik
2:1
Jun 4, 2017 Srpska Liga - East
Pukovac vs Trstenik
3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trstenik 85 / 100
Pukovac 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trstenik Pukovac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trstenik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pukovac conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Trstenik scored in 65% of their last 37 outings.

Trstenik went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trstenik VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trstenik

(Home)
14 Jun
Trstenik
9 : 1
Rudar 2016
07 Jun
Rembas
0 : 1
Trstenik
31 May
Brzi Brod
4 : 1
Trstenik
23 May
Trstenik
1 : 0
Morava Cuprija
16 May
Timok
3 : 0
Trstenik
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Pukovac

(Away)
09 Jun
Pukovac
2 : 0
Radnicki Svilajnac
02 Jun
Car Konstantin
5 : 2
Pukovac
29 May
Pukovac
5 : 6
Zaplanjac
25 May
Dubocica
6 : 2
Pukovac
19 May
SFS Borac
6 : 0
Pukovac
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