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Trujillanos vs Monagas

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio José Alberto Pérez, Valera
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Match Events

24' Event
Gonzalez F.
Assist: Granados J.
46'
Sub
Diaz H. In: Basante F.
Out: Diaz H.
50'
Paredes J.

AI Match Summary

Trujillanos in this Liga FUTVE matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trujillanos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Trujillanos
20%
Draws
57%
Monagas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monagas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Monagas lately — more wins on the board than Trujillanos.
  • Win probability leans Trujillanos's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Trujillanos Clean Sheet 68%
Monagas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trujillanos Monagas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 9 4
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Trujillanos vs Monagas
3:1
Mar 8, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Trujillanos
3:1
Jul 7, 2024 Copa Venezuela
Trujillanos vs Monagas
0:1
Apr 26, 2020 Liga FUTVE
Trujillanos vs Monagas
0:0
Sep 7, 2019 Liga FUTVE
Trujillanos vs Monagas
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trujillanos Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mosquera L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Monagas Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trujillanos 50 / 100
Monagas 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trujillanos Monagas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trujillanos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Trujillanos scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Monagas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Trujillanos remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Trujillanos VS Monagas
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Trujillanos

(Home)
20 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1
Trujillanos
16 Sept
Trujillanos
2 : 4
Rayo Zuliano
13 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
Trujillanos
10 Sept
Lara
2 : 1
Trujillanos
06 Sept
Trujillanos
0 : 1
Caracas
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Monagas

(Away)
19 Sept
Rayo Zuliano
1 : 1
Monagas
16 Sept
Monagas
1 : 0
Zamora
13 Sept
Caracas
0 : 1
Monagas
09 Sept
Monagas
5 : 1
Bolivar
06 Sept
Monagas
0 : 1
Metropolitanos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metropolitanos 11 9 1 1 24:9 28
2 Dep. Tachira 11 7 2 2 24:14 23
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 11 5 4 2 15:9 19
4 Carabobo 11 5 3 3 12:8 18
5 Portuguesa 11 4 5 2 14:12 17
6 Deportivo La Guaira 11 5 1 5 21:16 16
7 Estudiantes Merida 11 4 4 3 12:12 16
8 Universidad Central 11 4 3 4 12:11 15
9 Monagas 11 4 2 5 12:13 14
10 Caracas 11 2 5 4 9:14 11
11 Rayo Zuliano 11 3 2 6 17:23 11
12 Trujillanos 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
13 Zamora 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Academia Anzoategui 11 1 2 8 6:20 5
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)