Sport Picks

Estonia

Estonian Cup 2013/2014

FC Ararat

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Trummi play FC Ararat in the Estonian Cup 2013/2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Trummi averaged 3.33 goals scored and 4 conceded. FC Ararat averaged 1.55 goals scored and 3.42 conceded. In past meetings, Trummi won 0, FC Ararat won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 24, 2013 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.67 for Trummi and 1.24 for FC Ararat. This points to a FC Ararat double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Trummi

15%

Draws

43%

FC Ararat

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Ararat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Trummi picked up more points recently compared to FC Ararat.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.67 vs 1.24 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 97%

Over 2.5 Goals 91%

Over 3.5 Goals 55%

Over 4.5 Goals 27%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%

Trummi Clean Sheet 19%

FC Ararat Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 87%

Second Half Goal 92%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Trummi	FC Ararat
Matches Played	3	31
Wins	1	7
Draws	0	4
Losses	2	20
Goals Scored	3.33	1.55
Goals Conceded	4	3.42

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2013 Estonian Cup

Trummi vs FC Ararat

Possession: 51% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trummi 42 / 100

FC Ararat 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Trummi FC Ararat

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Ararat or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.4%

1.18

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Trummi attacking → ← attacking FC Ararat

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trummi scored in 100% of their last 3 games.

FC Ararat let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Trummi went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FC Ararat lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 25

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.13