Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with FC Ararat advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
15%
55%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Ararat
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- FC Ararat carry the better recent record into this one.
- 30% — that's where the model lands on Trummi taking it.
- FC Ararat arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor FC Ararat, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Trummi Clean Sheet 19%
FC Ararat Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Trummi | FC Ararat |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 3 | 31 |
| Wins | 1 | 7 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 3.33 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 4 | 3.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.67 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 24, 2013 Estonian Cup
Trummi vs FC Ararat
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Trummi 40 / 100
FC Ararat 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Trummi FC Ararat
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Trummi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Trummi found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (3 games).
FC Ararat's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Trummi has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS FC Ararat
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 4.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Trummi
(Home) 24 Jul
Trummi
1 : 2 FC Ararat
16 Jun
Trummi
7 : 4 Helios
20 Jun
Trummi
2 : 6 JK Visadus
24 Jul
Trummi
1 : 2 FC Ararat
16 Jun
Trummi
7 : 4 Helios
20 Jun
Trummi
2 : 6 JK Visadus
FC Ararat
(Away) 28 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus
10 : 0 FC Ararat
30 Jul
Tallinna Smsraha
1 : 3 FC Ararat
25 Aug
FC Ararat
2 : 3 Vastseliina Tannem
10 Jul
Eston Villa II
: FC Ararat
10 Jul
EstHam United
0 : 6 FC Ararat
Page 1 of 7
28 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus
10 : 0 FC Ararat
30 Jul
Tallinna Smsraha
1 : 3 FC Ararat
10 Jul
Eston Villa II
: FC Ararat
10 Jul
EstHam United
0 : 6 FC Ararat
25 Jul
Elva
8 : 0 FC Ararat
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
FCI Tallinn 9
Castovanni Eagles 0
Rakvere 3
Tallinna Kalev 5
Viimsi MRJK -
TBD -
Rada Kuusalu 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 3
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS -
TBD -
TBD -
Smuuli -
Igiliikur 1
FC KIIU 0
TBD -
FC Tartu -
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Taaksi -
Trummi 7
Helios 4
Pokkeriprod 1
FC Ararat 6
Jarva-Jaani -
TBD -
Pirita -
Merkuur Tartu -
Lasnamae 5
Saku Sporting 0
TBD -
Puuma -
Tammeka Tartu II 4
Soccernet 0
Tallinna Kalev III 0
Elva 1
Ambla 5
Loo JK 3
Rakvere Wiswald 0
FCI Tallinn II 7
Vaatsa Vald -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
IAFA Estonia -
TBD -
Tartu Harrastajad 0
Saue JK Laagri 9
Flora 18
Reaal 0
Tallinna Dnipro 0
Sillamae Kalev 11
Imavere Forss 4
Tapa 1
Olympic Tallinn 0
Tulevik 4
Kalju 14
Puhajarve Revali 0
TBD -
Kohtla-Nomme -
Lihula JK 7
Lelle 1
Voru 0
Levadia 11
Viimsi JK 4
Kaitseliit 0
Jogeva 1
Ulikool Tallinn 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 3
Metropool Parnu 1
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu -
Legion -
Kose JK -
Ganvix Turi 0
Eston Villa 1
Navi Vutiselts 5
Kaitseliit II 1
Torva JK 1
Tartu SK 10 6
Parnu Linnameeskond 3
Kalju III 1
TBD -
FC Balteco -
Tartu Ulikool -
Taebla -
Dinamo Tallinn 1
Otepaa 2
Nomme Utd 1
SK EPMU Tartu 0
TBD -
Haiba -
Shnelli 3
Raudteetoolised 2
Parnu-Jaagupi -
Johvi Phoenix -
Kuressaare 3
Kadakas 0
Roosad Pantrid 1
JK Poseidon 8
Oismae Torm 4
Eesti Vaitlusselts 0
Valga Warrior 1
Tallinn Piraaja 3
Tartu SK 10 II 4
Maccabi 2
TBD -
Toompea -
Rummu Dunamo 2
Tallinna Kalev II 0
Twister Tallinn 0
Paide Linnameeskond 5
Kivioli Irbis 4
Kose 1
Leisi 2
FC Lootos Polva 5
Rapla 6
Donkers 0
Kalju II 0
Raasiku Joker 1
Narva 11
Retro 1
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Tartu Tehased 3
Eestimaa Kasakad 2
Vandra Vaprus 1
Santos Tartu 3
1/32-finals
FCI Tallinn 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
Viimsi MRJK 0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 5
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS 5
Smuuli 1
Igiliikur 0
FC Tartu 4
Tartu JK Welco 5
SK Taaksi 2
Trummi 1
FC Ararat 2
Jarva-Jaani 2
Merkuur Tartu 0
Lasnamae 1
Puuma 5
Tammeka Tartu II 2
Elva 1
Ambla 1
FCI Tallinn II 8
Vaatsa Vald 2
JK Jalgpallihaigla 1
IAFA Estonia 1
Saue JK Laagri 2
Flora 1
Sillamae Kalev 0
Imavere Forss 0
Tulevik 1
Kalju 14
Kohtla-Nomme 0
Lihula JK 0
Levadia 8
Viimsi JK 1
Ulikool Tallinn 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 1
Tammeka Tartu 5
Legion 8
Eston Villa 0
Navi Vutiselts 0
Tartu SK 10 7
Parnu Linnameeskond 7
FC Balteco 1
Tartu Ulikool 0
Otepaa 3
Nomme Utd 7
Haiba 1
Shnelli 0
Johvi Phoenix 13
Kuressaare 6
JK Poseidon 1
Oismae Torm 0
Tallinn Piraaja 6
Tartu SK 10 II -
Toompea -
Rummu Dunamo 2
Paide Linnameeskond 5
Kivioli Irbis 7
FC Lootos Polva 1
Rapla 0
Raasiku Joker 9
Narva 4
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Tartu Tehased 0
Santos Tartu 8
1/16-finals
FCI Tallinn 6
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS 1
FC Tartu 2
Tartu JK Welco 2
FC Ararat 1
Jarva-Jaani 1
Puuma 8
Tammeka Tartu II 2
FCI Tallinn II 1
Vaatsa Vald 0
Saue JK Laagri 4
Flora 2
Tulevik 1
Kalju 1
Levadia 3
Viimsi JK 3
Tammeka Tartu 1
Legion 1
Tartu SK 10 2
Parnu Linnameeskond 4
Otepaa 1
Nomme Utd 2
Johvi Phoenix 6
Kuressaare 1
Tallinn Piraaja 0
Tartu SK 10 II 1
Paide Linnameeskond 6
Kivioli Irbis 5
Raasiku Joker 1
Narva 0
Santos Tartu 1
1/8-finals
FCI Tallinn 6
FC Tartu 1
Tartu JK Welco 3
Puuma 4
Tammeka Tartu II 6
Saue JK Laagri 0
Flora 0
Levadia 2
Viimsi JK 1
Tartu SK 10 0
Parnu Linnameeskond 0
Johvi Phoenix 1
Kuressaare 1
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Kivioli Irbis 0
Santos Tartu 11
Quarter-finals
FCI Tallinn 2
Puuma 0
Tammeka Tartu II -
Levadia -
Viimsi JK 1
Johvi Phoenix 0
Kuressaare 1
Santos Tartu 3
Semi-finals
FCI Tallinn 0
Levadia 1
Viimsi JK 1
Santos Tartu 3
Final
Levadia 4
Santos Tartu 0
