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Truro vs Leicester U21

England England

National League Cup Truro Sports Hub, Truro
Truro Logo

Truro

4 - 1
FT
Leicester U21 Logo

Leicester U21

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Jephcott L.
(Penalty)
5'
Gray K.
19'
Dean T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Truro
30%
Draws
8%
Leicester U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Truro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Truro have won more games recently than Leicester U21.
  • Win probability leans Truro's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Truro have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Truro, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Truro Clean Sheet 20%
Leicester U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Truro Leicester U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.21 1.83
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 National League Cup
Truro vs Leicester U21
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Truro Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson-Fisher D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jephcott L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Leicester U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer de Lisle H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Truro 85 / 100
Leicester U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Truro Leicester U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Truro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leicester U21 let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Truro found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Truro remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Truro VS Leicester U21
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Truro

(Home)
26 Sept
Maidstone
1 : 2
Truro
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0
Merthyr Town
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1
Truro
15 Sept
Truro
0 : 1
Salisbury
12 Sept
Truro
1 : 1
Walton & Hersham
Page 1 of 6

Leicester U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Leicester U21
0 : 0
West Ham U21
11 Sept
Brighton U21
3 : 0
Leicester U21
08 Sept
Truro
4 : 1
Leicester U21
04 Sept
Leicester U21
0 : 1
Bournemouth U21
31 Aug
Manchester United U21
4 : 1
Leicester U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halifax 2 2 0 0 9:2 6
2 Scunthorpe 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
3 Wealdstone 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
4 Wolves U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
5 Derby U21 2 1 0 1 5:7 3
6 Nottingham U21 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
7 Gateshead 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
8 Stoke City U21 2 0 0 2 0:10 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Norwich U21 2 2 0 0 2:1 5
3 Braintree 2 1 0 1 3:2 4
4 Hornchurch 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
5 Fulham U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
6 Ipswich U21 2 1 0 1 1:4 2
7 Worthing FC 2 0 0 2 1:2 1
8 Aldershot 2 0 0 2 2:5 1
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 3 3 0 0 16:2 9
2 Boreham Wood 3 2 0 1 8:4 7
3 Everton U21 2 2 0 0 2:1 5
4 Tamworth 2 1 0 1 6:6 3
5 Leeds U21 2 1 0 1 5:7 3
6 Newcastle Utd U21 2 0 0 2 4:7 0
7 Solihull Moors 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
8 Hartlepool 2 0 0 2 0:11 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truro 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Birmingham U21 2 2 0 0 4:3 5
3 West Brom U21 2 2 0 0 1:0 5
4 Woking 2 1 0 1 4:1 4
5 Sutton 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
6 Leicester U21 2 0 0 2 1:4 1
7 Boston United 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
8 Southampton U21 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)