Sport Picks

Truro vs Merthyr Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

FA Cup

Truro

2 - 0

Merthyr Town

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Truro

35%

Draws

20%

Merthyr Town

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Truro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Truro lately — more wins on the board than Merthyr Town.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Truro have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Truro, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Truro Clean Sheet 20%

Merthyr Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Truro	Merthyr Town
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	12	8
Draws	7	7
Losses	8	14
Goals Scored	1.37	1.45
Goals Conceded	0.7	1.62
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 FA Cup

Truro vs Merthyr Town

2:0

Sep 19, 2026 FA Cup

Merthyr Town vs Truro

1:1

Mar 11, 2023 Southern League Premier South

Merthyr Town vs Truro

2:1

Jan 21, 2023 Southern League Premier South

Truro vs Merthyr Town

0:0

Sep 3, 2022 FA Cup

Merthyr Town vs Truro

5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Truro 31 / 100

Merthyr Town 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Truro Merthyr Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Truro Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Merthyr Town conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Truro stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Truro scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Truro VS Merthyr Town

1.75 Goals Scored 0.88

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Truro

(Home)

06 Oct

Farnham

2 : 2

Truro

03 Oct

Truro

4 : 0

Cirencester

26 Sept

Maidstone

1 : 2

Truro

22 Sept

Truro

2 : 0

Merthyr Town

19 Sept

Merthyr Town

1 : 1

Truro

Page 1 of 6

Merthyr Town

(Away)

26 Sept

Merthyr Town

1 : 2

Marine

22 Sept

Truro

2 : 0

Merthyr Town

19 Sept

Merthyr Town

1 : 1

Truro

12 Sept

Scarborough Athletic

0 : 0

Merthyr Town

08 Sept

Chester

0 : 1

Merthyr Town

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Harborough -

TBD -

Stourbridge 1

Rushall 3

FC Witham Town 3

Stotfold 2

St. Albans 2

Hashtag 0

AFC Emley 3

Bishop Auckland 1

TBD -

Spennymoor -

Lower Breck 5

Thornaby 1

TBD -

Chester -

North Ferriby FC 0

Barton Town 2

Bourne 2

Boldmere St Michaels 3

Warrington Rylands 3

Hyde 1

TBD -

Chorley -

Wellingborough 3

Kettering 4

Quorn 2

Shepshed 1

Knowle 1

Worcester 2

Alfreton 0

Stratford 2

Gateshead -

TBD -

Stafford 3

Northampton on Chenecks 0

TBD -

Hereford -

Halesowen 3

Basford Utd. 1

Stamford 0

Mickleover 1

Halifax -

TBD -

Buxton -

TBD -

Whitby 2

Ashton United 5

South Shields -

TBD -

Avro 0

Witton Albion 2

Biggleswade Town 1

Hitchin 4

Grays 0

Leiston 5

Hednesford -

TBD -

Coventry United 2

Bedworth United 1

Hebburn Town -

TBD -

Stockton 3

Guiseley 4

Curzon Ashton 1

Bradford PA 2

Lancaster 3

Tadcaster Albion 1

Barrow -

TBD -

Dunstable 1

Woodford Town 3

Mulbarton Wanderers 3

Cornard United 0

AFC Totton -

TBD -

Gloucester City 5

Mangotsfield 1

Hartlepool -

TBD -

Marine -

TBD -

Radcliffe -

Shildon 2

Warrington Town 6

South Liverpool 4

Prestwich Heys 3

Boston United -

TBD -

Scunthorpe -

Redcar Athletic 1

Stocksbridge 0

TBD -

Macclesfield -

Vauxhall 0

Dunston 2

TBD -

Scarborough Athletic -

Leamington 3

Ilkeston 1

Sherwood Colliery 2

Gainsborough 4

Northampton Sileby 0

Anstey Nomads 4

Cleethorpes 1

Newcastle Town 2

Altrincham -

TBD -

Telford -

TBD -

Worksop -

Garforth 1

United of Manchester 5

Ossett United 1

Pontefract Collieries 0

Bury FC 8

Wythenshawe FC 0

Workington 3

Marske United 0

Bromsgrove 2

Nuneaton 0

Sporting Khalsa 0

Leek Town 5

TBD -

Harrogate -

Leighton Town 1

Gorleston 4

London Lions 2

Bury Town 4

Spalding United -

TBD -

Hanley Town 2

Abbey Hulton 1

Cambridge City 6

Maldon & Tiptree 1

Yaxley 1

Buckhurst Hill 4

Alvechurch 2

Wolverhampton City 0

Lye Town 1

Racing Club Warwick 5

Desborough Town 0

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3

Peterborough Sports 4

Ipswich Wanderers 0

Stanway Rovers 1

Needham Market 3

TBD -

Braintree -

Morecambe -

TBD -

Southport -

Redcar Town 1

Blyth Spartans 0

TBD -

Darlington FC -

Kidderminster -

TBD -

Solihull Moors -

Carlisle -

TBD -

Tamworth -

AFC Fylde -

TBD -

Heaton Stannington 1

Knaresborough Town 0

Bamber Bridge 1

Trafford 3

Northwich Victoria 2

Atherton Collieries 3

Prescot Cables 2

Horbury Town 0

Salisbury -

TBD -

Taunton Town 4

Millbrook 0

Dulwich Hamlet 4

East Grinstead Town 0

Faversham 2

Welling 3

Thame United 3

Reading City 2

Banbury 1

Exmouth Town 2

Whitehawk 2

Eastbourne Borough 4

Holmesdale 1

Windsor & Eton 5

Sutton -

TBD -

Merthyr Town -

TBD -

Truro -

Fleetlands 0

Cirencester 3

TBD -

Farnham -

Chesham -

TBD -

Ware 6

Fakenham 4

Harleston Town 3

Romford 1

Real Bedford 4

Royston Town 1

TBD -

Forest Green -

Three Bridges 0

Kingstonian 1

Leatherhead 3

Croydon Athletic 0

Ascot United 1

Pagham 3

Hanworth Villa 4

Whitstable Town 1

TBD -

Yeovil -

Bedford -

TBD -

King’s Lynn -

Hemel Hempstead -

TBD -

Wingate & Finchley 2

Felixstowe & Walton 0

Lewes 2

Cray Wanderers 3

TBD -

Maidstone -

Yate 3

Devizes Town 0

Chippenham Town 4

Havant & Waterlooville 2

Uxbridge 3

Haywards Heath 0

TBD -

Farnborough -

Baffins Milton Rovers 1

Slimbridge 4

Wells City 0

Hungerford 4

TBD -

Hornchurch -

Aldershot -

TBD -

Bishops Cleeve 2

Poole Town 1

Tadley Calleva 3

Laverstock & Ford 1

Westfield 1

Dartford 3

Hayes & Yeading 2

Camberley Town 1

Tonbridge -

TBD -

Ramsgate 1

Bracknell Town 0

Torquay -

TBD -

Basingstoke 0

AFC Stoneham 1

Brixham 2

Dorchester 3

TBD -

Oxford City -

Billericay -

TBD -

Frenford 0

Enfield Town 4

Hampton & Richmond -

TBD -

Crowborough 4

Whyteleafe 3

Weston-super-Mare -

TBD -

Wimborne 3

Portishead Town 1

Brackley -

TBD -

Portchester 2

Portland United 1

Canvey Island 2

Newmarket 1

TBD -

Chelmsford -

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Worthing FC -

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

Woking -

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Aveley 4

Cheshunt 2

Concord Rangers 2

Brentwood 4

Brantham 0

Waltham Abbey 7

TBD -

Dagenham & Red. -

Southend -

TBD -

Malvern Town 1

Redditch 5

Belper Town 0

Evesham 3

Stortford 2

Berkhamsted Town 3

Hendon 7

Hullbridge 3

Maidenhead -

TBD -

Ebbsfleet -

St. Blazey 1

Tiverton 2

Sholing 2

Andover New Street 0

Winslow United 1

Swindon Supermarine 3

Bath City 0

Weymouth 2

Broadfields United 1

Chichester City 4

SE Dons 2

Erith Town 0

Falmouth Town 2

Frome Town 4

Gosport Borough 1

Plymouth Parkway 3

Walton & Hersham -

TBD -

Horsham FC -

Margate 1

Snodland 3

Redhill 1

Sheppey United 2

Chertsey Town 3

Carshalton 2

Sittingbourne 3

A.F.C. Greenwich Borough 4

Flackwell Heath 0

Hanwell Town 1

Burgess Hill 3

Jersey Bulls 1

Dover Ath. -

TBD -

Folkestone -

Southall FC 2

Cobham 1

TBD -

Dorking Wanderers -

Slough Town -

TBD -

Egham Town 0

Chatham 4

Quarter-finals

Harborough 1

Rushall 0

FC Witham Town 0

St. Albans 3

AFC Emley 0

Spennymoor 4

Lower Breck 1

Chester 2

Barton Town 3

Boldmere St Michaels 1

Warrington Rylands 0

Chorley 1

Kettering 2

Quorn 0

Worcester 2

Stratford 1

Gateshead -

TBD -

Stafford 3

Hereford 2

Halesowen 2

Mickleover 0

Halifax -

TBD -

Buxton 1

Ashton United 0

South Shields 7

Witton Albion 0

Hitchin 1

Leiston 2

Hednesford 0

Coventry United 1

Hebburn Town 1

Guiseley 4

Bradford PA 1

Lancaster 0

Barrow -

TBD -

Woodford Town 1

Mulbarton Wanderers 2

AFC Totton 0

Gloucester City 2

Hartlepool -

TBD -

Marine 3

Radcliffe 2

Warrington Town 3

South Liverpool 0

Boston United -

TBD -

Scunthorpe -

Redcar Athletic 1

Macclesfield 2

Dunston 0

Scarborough Athletic 2

Leamington 1

Gainsborough 4

Anstey Nomads 2

Newcastle Town 1

Altrincham -

TBD -

Telford 4

Worksop 7

United of Manchester 4

Ossett United 1

Bury FC 5

Workington 1

Bromsgrove 2

Leek Town 1

TBD -

Harrogate -

Gorleston 3

Bury Town 4

Spalding United 2

Hanley Town 0

Cambridge City 3

Buckhurst Hill 1

Alvechurch 3

Racing Club Warwick 1

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3

Peterborough Sports 1

Needham Market 3

Braintree 6

Morecambe 2

Southport 0

Redcar Town 2

Darlington FC 4

Kidderminster -

TBD -

Solihull Moors -

Carlisle -

TBD -

Tamworth -

AFC Fylde -

TBD -

Heaton Stannington 1

Trafford 2

Atherton Collieries 2

Prescot Cables 0

Salisbury 4

Taunton Town 1

Dulwich Hamlet 4

Welling 1

Thame United 6

Exmouth Town 4

Eastbourne Borough 3

Windsor & Eton 0

Sutton -

TBD -

Merthyr Town 1

Truro 3

Cirencester 4

Farnham 3

Chesham 7

Ware 2

Harleston Town 1

Real Bedford 2

TBD -

Forest Green -

Kingstonian 0

Leatherhead 1

Pagham 0

Hanworth Villa 6

TBD -

Yeovil -

Bedford 2

King’s Lynn 1

Hemel Hempstead 2

Wingate & Finchley 3

Cray Wanderers 3

Maidstone 1

Yate 1

Chippenham Town 2

Uxbridge 4

Farnborough 2

Slimbridge 1

Hungerford 3

TBD -

Hornchurch -

Aldershot -

TBD -

Bishops Cleeve 0

Tadley Calleva 1

Dartford 4

Hayes & Yeading 2

Tonbridge 2

Ramsgate 1

Torquay 6

AFC Stoneham 1

Dorchester 0

Oxford City 2

Billericay 1

Enfield Town 3

Hampton & Richmond 4

Crowborough 6

Weston-super-Mare 2

Wimborne 3

Brackley 1

Portchester 0

Canvey Island 0

Chelmsford 1

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Worthing FC -

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

Woking -

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Aveley 2

Brentwood 3

Waltham Abbey 1

Dagenham & Red. 4

Southend -

TBD -

Redditch 3

Evesham 0

Berkhamsted Town 4

Hendon 1

Maidenhead 1

Ebbsfleet 3

Tiverton 0

Sholing 1

Swindon Supermarine 1

Weymouth 3

Chichester City 2

SE Dons 3

Frome Town 0

Plymouth Parkway 2

Walton & Hersham 0

Horsham FC 3

Snodland 0

Sheppey United 1

Chertsey Town 3

A.F.C. Greenwich Borough 2

Hanwell Town 2

Burgess Hill 1

Dover Ath. 4

Folkestone 2

Southall FC 6

Dorking Wanderers 7

Slough Town 0

Chatham 1

Semi-finals

Harborough 3

St. Albans 2

Spennymoor 4

Chester 1

Barton Town 1

Chorley 4

Kettering 1

Worcester 3

Gateshead -

TBD -

Stafford 3

Halesowen 2

Halifax -

TBD -

Buxton 0

South Shields 2

Leiston 3

Coventry United 1

Guiseley 1

Bradford PA 0

Barrow -

TBD -

Mulbarton Wanderers 1

Gloucester City 2

Hartlepool -

TBD -

Marine 2

Warrington Town 0

Boston United -

TBD -

Scunthorpe -

Macclesfield 4

Scarborough Athletic 3

Gainsborough 2

Anstey Nomads 3

Altrincham -

TBD -

Worksop 0

United of Manchester 3

Bury FC 2

Bromsgrove 1

TBD -

Harrogate -

Bury Town 1

Spalding United 5

Cambridge City 1

Alvechurch 2

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2

Braintree 1

Morecambe 3

Darlington FC 0

Kidderminster -

TBD -

Solihull Moors -

Carlisle -

TBD -

Tamworth -

AFC Fylde -

TBD -

Trafford 2

Atherton Collieries 5

Salisbury 5

Dulwich Hamlet 0

Thame United 0

Eastbourne Borough 1

Sutton -

TBD -

Truro 4

Cirencester 0

Chesham 4

Real Bedford 3

TBD -

Forest Green -

Leatherhead 1

Hanworth Villa 0

TBD -

Yeovil -

Bedford 5

Wingate & Finchley 3

Cray Wanderers 3

Chippenham Town 0

Uxbridge 3

Hungerford 1

TBD -

Hornchurch -

Aldershot -

TBD -

Tadley Calleva 2

Dartford 1

Tonbridge 0

Torquay 1

Oxford City 6

Enfield Town 1

Crowborough 1

Wimborne 2

Brackley 0

Chelmsford 2

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Worthing FC -

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

Woking -

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Brentwood 3

Dagenham & Red. 1

Southend -

TBD -

Redditch 0

Berkhamsted Town 2

Ebbsfleet 1

Sholing 2

Weymouth 1

SE Dons 5

Plymouth Parkway 2

Horsham FC 1

Sheppey United 0

Chertsey Town 2

Hanwell Town 1

Dover Ath. 2

Dorking Wanderers 1

Chatham 0

Final

Harborough -

Spennymoor -

Chorley -

Worcester -

Gateshead -

Stafford -

Halifax -

South Shields -

Leiston -

Guiseley -

Barrow -

Gloucester City -

Hartlepool -

Marine -

Boston United -

Scunthorpe -

Macclesfield -

Anstey Nomads -

Altrincham -

United of Manchester -

Bury FC -

Harrogate -

Spalding United -

Alvechurch -

AFC Rushden & Diamonds -

Morecambe -

Kidderminster -

Solihull Moors -

Carlisle -

Tamworth -

AFC Fylde -

Atherton Collieries -

Salisbury -

Eastbourne Borough -

Sutton -

Truro -

Chesham -

Forest Green -

Leatherhead -

Yeovil -

Bedford -

Cray Wanderers -

Uxbridge -

Hornchurch -

Aldershot -

Tadley Calleva -

Torquay -

Oxford City -

Wimborne -

Chelmsford -

Wealdstone -

Worthing FC -

Boreham Wood -

Woking -

Eastleigh -

Brentwood -

Southend -

Berkhamsted Town -

Sholing -

SE Dons -

Plymouth Parkway -

Chertsey Town -

Dover Ath. -

Dorking Wanderers -

Truro vs Merthyr Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

Truro

Merthyr Town

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Truro

Merthyr Town

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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