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Tryavna vs Sitomir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Third League - North-West 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tryavna
15%
Draws
85%
Sitomir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sitomir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Sitomir at 0.76 per game, Tryavna at 0.73.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Sitomir taking it.
  • Regular Third League - North-West 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Tryavna Clean Sheet 10%
Sitomir Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tryavna Sitomir
Matches Played 37 33
Wins 4 4
Draws 6 3
Losses 27 26
Goals Scored 0.73 0.76
Goals Conceded 2.76 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2014 Third League - North-West
Tryavna vs Sitomir
1:1
Nov 24, 2013 Third League - North-West
Sitomir vs Tryavna
3:0
Apr 21, 2013 Third League - North-West
Tryavna vs Sitomir
1:1
Sep 23, 2012 Third League - North-West
Sitomir vs Tryavna
4:1
May 10, 2012 Third League - North-West
Tryavna vs Sitomir
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tryavna 14 / 100
Sitomir 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tryavna Sitomir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sitomir Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sitomir let in goals in 91% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Sitomir registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tryavna found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (37 games).

Scoring Trends

Tryavna VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
3.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tryavna

(Home)
30 May
Spartak Pleven
9 : 1
Tryavna
23 May
Tryavna
0 : 4
Bdin Vidin
19 May
Tryavna
0 : 2
OFK Levski
16 May
Parva Atomna
2 : 0
Tryavna
09 May
Tryavna
0 : 2
Akademik Svishtov
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Sitomir

(Away)
31 May
Sitomir
0 : 3
Pavlikeni
23 May
Juventus Malchika
3 : 0
Sitomir
17 May
Sitomir
0 : 3
Spartak Pleven
13 May
Bdin Vidin
3 : 0
Sitomir
10 May
Parva Atomna
3 : 0
Sitomir
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 30 23 5 2 91:24 74
2 Gorna 30 23 4 3 119:26 73
3 Botev Lukovit 30 23 2 5 61:27 71
4 Spartak Pleven 30 20 5 5 66:27 65
5 Etar 30 19 5 6 61:20 62
6 Partizan Cerven Brjag 30 12 8 10 42:49 44
7 Vidima-Rakovski 30 13 2 15 56:44 41
8 Bdin Vidin 30 12 5 13 48:47 41
9 Parva Atomna 30 9 9 12 45:50 36
10 Sitomir 30 7 7 16 35:62 28
11 OFK Levski 30 7 7 16 34:62 28
12 Belene 30 7 5 18 25:54 26
13 Kom Berkovitsa 30 6 6 18 40:64 24
14 Pavlikeni 30 7 3 20 30:81 24
15 Yantra Gabrovo 30 6 6 18 22:76 24
16 Tryavna 30 3 7 20 19:81 16
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