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Trygg/Lade vs Melhus

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Flotve M.
(Penalty)
38' Event
Eidsvag S.
53' Event
Vollan M.

AI Match Summary

Trygg/Lade in this Division 3 - Group 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trygg/Lade.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Trygg/Lade
6%
Draws
90%
Melhus
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Melhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Melhus lately — more wins on the board than Trygg/Lade.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Melhus taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Trygg/Lade Clean Sheet 10%
Melhus Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trygg/Lade Melhus
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Trygg/Lade vs Melhus
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Trygg/Lade vs Melhus
3:0
Mar 29, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Melhus vs Trygg/Lade
1:0
Sep 9, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Melhus vs Trygg/Lade
2:0
Apr 27, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Trygg/Lade vs Melhus
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trygg/Lade Compare

Top Goalscorer Eidsvag S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vollan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Melhus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trygg/Lade 10 / 100
Melhus 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trygg/Lade Melhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Trygg/Lade scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Melhus has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Melhus has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Trygg/Lade VS Melhus
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Trygg/Lade

(Home)
28 Jun
Skeid
7 : 1
Trygg/Lade
21 Jun
Trygg/Lade
1 : 4
Lorenskog
14 Jun
Stjordals Blink
2 : 1
Trygg/Lade
31 May
Grorud
2 : 1
Trygg/Lade
24 May
Trygg/Lade
1 : 2
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
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Melhus

(Away)
25 Jun
Strindheim
2 : 1
Melhus
19 Jun
Melhus
1 : 1
Rosenborg 2
14 Jun
Byasen
3 : 2
Melhus
30 May
Melhus
3 : 0
Molde 2
22 May
Orkla
0 : 2
Melhus
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