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Trzebinia Siersza vs Motor Lublin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2017/2018 game between Trzebinia Siersza and Motor Lublin finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Motor Lublin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Trzebinia Siersza
15%
Draws
49%
Motor Lublin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Motor Lublin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Motor Lublin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Motor Lublin's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Motor Lublin have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Trzebinia Siersza Clean Sheet 15%
Motor Lublin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trzebinia Siersza Motor Lublin
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 5 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2018 III Liga - Group IV
Trzebinia Siersza vs Motor Lublin
1:2
Sep 22, 2017 III Liga - Group IV
Motor Lublin vs Trzebinia Siersza
5:0
Apr 28, 2017 III Liga - Group IV
Motor Lublin vs Trzebinia Siersza
5:1
Sep 17, 2016 III Liga - Group IV
Trzebinia Siersza vs Motor Lublin
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trzebinia Siersza 27 / 100
Motor Lublin 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trzebinia Siersza Motor Lublin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Motor Lublin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Trzebinia Siersza's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Motor Lublin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.

Away concern: Motor Lublin has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Motor Lublin
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Trzebinia Siersza

(Home)
20 Jul
Czaniec
2 : 1
Trzebinia Siersza
16 Jun
Sandomierz
2 : 0
Trzebinia Siersza
09 Jun
Trzebinia Siersza
2 : 1
Wislanie Skawina
02 Jun
Sola Oswiecim
4 : 1
Trzebinia Siersza
30 May
Trzebinia Siersza
1 : 2
S. Rzeszow
Page 1 of 6

Motor Lublin

(Away)
19 Sept
Motor Lublin
0 : 0
Gornik Zabrze
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1
Motor Lublin
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3
Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0
Legia
29 Aug
Motor Lublin
0 : 2
Piast Gliwice
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 R. Rzeszow 34 23 8 3 61:22 77
2 Motor Lublin 34 22 5 7 70:29 71
3 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 34 18 10 6 50:31 64
4 Chelmianka Chelm 34 18 8 8 56:29 62
5 Podhale Nowy Targ 34 16 8 10 59:43 56
6 S. Rzeszow 34 16 7 11 56:40 55
7 Wolczanka Wolka Pelkinska 34 16 7 11 56:42 55
8 Wislanie Skawina 34 13 9 12 52:56 48
9 Orleta Radzyn 34 12 10 12 45:47 46
10 Avia Swidnik 34 10 11 13 55:49 41
11 Sola Oswiecim 34 10 7 17 39:59 37
12 Spartakus Daleszyce 34 10 6 18 39:55 36
13 Biala Podlaska 34 7 15 12 40:52 36
14 Sandomierz 34 10 6 18 30:46 36
15 Jaroslaw 34 10 5 19 39:64 35
16 Unia Tarnow 34 9 8 17 48:70 35
17 Trzebinia Siersza 34 6 9 19 35:63 27
18 KS Karpaty Krosno 34 6 9 19 27:60 27
Promotion - Division 2 2018/2019 (Main)