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TS Sporting vs Free State Stars

South Africa South Africa

GladAfrica Championship 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Seseane A.
90' Event
Sekola M.

AI Match Summary

Free State Stars in this GladAfrica Championship 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Free State Stars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
TS Sporting
35%
Draws
30%
Free State Stars
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Free State Stars lately — more wins on the board than TS Sporting.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
TS Sporting Clean Sheet 20%
Free State Stars Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TS Sporting Free State Stars
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.77 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 11, 2021 Motsepe Foundation Championship
TS Sporting vs Free State Stars
0:2
Sep 22, 2021 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Free State Stars vs TS Sporting
2:1
May 2, 2021 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Free State Stars vs TS Sporting
3:4
Feb 17, 2021 Motsepe Foundation Championship
TS Sporting vs Free State Stars
0:1
Feb 15, 2020 Motsepe Foundation Championship
TS Sporting vs Free State Stars
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TS Sporting Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Free State Stars Compare

Top Goalscorer Seseane A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sekola M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TS Sporting 32 / 100
Free State Stars 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TS Sporting Free State Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TS Sporting scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Free State Stars's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

TS Sporting went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TS Sporting VS Free State Stars
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

TS Sporting

(Home)
15 May
Uthongathi
1 : 0
TS Sporting
08 May
TS Sporting
1 : 2
Richards Bay
30 Apr
Jomo Cosmos
1 : 1
TS Sporting
23 Apr
Venda
0 : 2
TS Sporting
17 Apr
TS Sporting
2 : 1
Hungry Lions
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Free State Stars

(Away)
15 May
Venda
1 : 1
Free State Stars
08 May
Free State Stars
2 : 1
Polokwane City
29 Apr
Platinum City
2 : 2
Free State Stars
23 Apr
Free State Stars
0 : 1
Black Leopards
16 Apr
JDR Stars
0 : 0
Free State Stars
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Richards Bay 30 14 12 4 39:22 54
2 Pretoria U. 30 13 13 4 40:26 52
3 Cape Town All Stars 30 12 12 6 37:26 48
4 JDR Stars 30 12 9 9 32:28 45
5 Venda 30 10 14 6 26:24 44
6 Polokwane City 30 11 8 11 42:37 41
7 Free State Stars 30 10 11 9 26:24 41
8 Uthongathi 30 8 15 7 27:25 39
9 Black Leopards 30 10 9 11 30:29 39
10 Platinum City 30 10 8 12 30:46 38
11 Hungry Lions 30 8 12 10 27:27 36
12 Pretoria Callies 30 10 5 15 33:32 35
13 Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila 30 9 7 14 26:45 34
14 Cape Town Spurs 30 6 15 9 27:32 33
15 Jomo Cosmos 30 5 13 12 27:34 28
16 TS Sporting 30 7 7 16 22:34 28
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