Sport Picks
TSB Flensburg vs Nordmark Satrup - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 
AI Match Summary
TSB Flensburg in this Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored TSB Flensburg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: TSB Flensburg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Nordmark Satrup lately — more wins on the board than TSB Flensburg.
- Win probability leans TSB Flensburg's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
TSB Flensburg Clean Sheet 16%
Nordmark Satrup Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | TSB Flensburg | Nordmark Satrup |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.28 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
TSB Flensburg vs Nordmark Satrup
4:0
Apr 9, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Nordmark Satrup vs TSB Flensburg
1:1
Aug 10, 2024 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
TSB Flensburg vs Nordmark Satrup
0:2
Nov 4, 2023 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
TSB Flensburg vs Nordmark Satrup
4:0
Aug 26, 2023 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Nordmark Satrup vs TSB Flensburg
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
TSB Flensburg 84 / 100
Nordmark Satrup 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
TSB Flensburg Nordmark Satrup
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TSB Flensburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nordmark Satrup has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.
Attacking prowess: TSB Flensburg scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Recent resilience: TSB Flensburg stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
TSB Flensburg VS Nordmark Satrup
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
TSB Flensburg
(Home) 03 Oct
SC Rapid Lubeck
0 : 5 TSB Flensburg
27 Sept
TSB Flensburg
4 : 0 Nordmark Satrup
19 Sept
TSB Flensburg
2 : 0 Lubeck II
13 Sept
TSB Flensburg
2 : 4 Eckernforder SV
05 Sept
Phonix Lubeck B
4 : 4 TSB Flensburg
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
TSB Flensburg
4 : 0 Nordmark Satrup
19 Sept
TSB Flensburg
2 : 0 Lubeck II
13 Sept
TSB Flensburg
2 : 4 Eckernforder SV
30 Aug
TSB Flensburg
1 : 2 Heider SV
16 Aug
TSB Flensburg
1 : 0 Kilia Kiel
Page 1 of 4
Nordmark Satrup
(Away) 03 Oct
Nordmark Satrup
0 : 1 Rotenhof
27 Sept
TSB Flensburg
4 : 0 Nordmark Satrup
19 Sept
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 1 Hohenwestedt
13 Sept
VfR Neumunster
3 : 0 Nordmark Satrup
05 Sept
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 1 Kaltenkirchener
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
TSB Flensburg
4 : 0 Nordmark Satrup
13 Sept
VfR Neumunster
3 : 0 Nordmark Satrup
08 Aug
Lubeck II
2 : 4 Nordmark Satrup
01 Aug
Phonix Lubeck B
4 : 2 Nordmark Satrup
10 May
Holstein Kiel II
6 : 0 Nordmark Satrup
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holstein Kiel II | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 40:15 | 26 |
| 2 | VfR Neumunster | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 30:15 | 24 |
| 3 | Kilia Kiel | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28:17 | 21 |
| 4 | TSB Flensburg | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 32:15 | 20 |
| 5 | Rotenhof | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 6 | SC Rapid Lubeck | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 24:23 | 19 |
| 7 | Oldenburger SV | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 30:24 | 17 |
| 8 | Heider SV | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19:31 | 14 |
| 9 | Eichede | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18:14 | 13 |
| 10 | Phonix Lubeck B | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 26:28 | 13 |
| 11 | PSV Neumunster | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 21:24 | 13 |
| 12 | Nordmark Satrup | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:23 | 11 |
| 13 | Lubeck II | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15:28 | 10 |
| 14 | Eckernforder SV | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 19:34 | 9 |
| 15 | Kaltenkirchener | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16:33 | 8 |
| 16 | Hohenwestedt | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 18:28 | 7 |
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Main)
