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TSC Backa Topola vs Zeleznicar Pancevo

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Super Liga 2025/2026 TSC Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TSC Backa Topola play Zeleznicar Pancevo in the Mozzart Bet Super Liga 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, TSC Backa Topola averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. Zeleznicar Pancevo averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, TSC Backa Topola won 2, Zeleznicar Pancevo won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for TSC Backa Topola and 1.44 for Zeleznicar Pancevo. This points to a Zeleznicar Pancevo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
TSC Backa Topola
35%
Draws
35%
Zeleznicar Pancevo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zeleznicar Pancevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • TSC Backa Topola picked up more points recently compared to Zeleznicar Pancevo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
TSC Backa Topola Clean Sheet 16%
Zeleznicar Pancevo Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSC Backa Topola Zeleznicar Pancevo
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 7 10
Draws 11 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.31 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.34 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
TSC Backa Topola vs Zeleznicar Pancevo
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Zeleznicar Pancevo vs TSC Backa Topola
1:0
Apr 7, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
TSC Backa Topola vs Zeleznicar Pancevo
1:0
Nov 10, 2024 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Zeleznicar Pancevo vs TSC Backa Topola
3:3
Feb 24, 2024 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Zeleznicar Pancevo vs TSC Backa Topola
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSC Backa Topola 30 / 100
Zeleznicar Pancevo 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSC Backa Topola Zeleznicar Pancevo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zeleznicar Pancevo or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

TSC Backa Topola attacking → ← attacking Zeleznicar Pancevo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSC Backa Topola scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Zeleznicar Pancevo let in goals in 52% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

TSC Backa Topola went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Zeleznicar Pancevo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 39
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Crvena zvezda30243387:2375
2Vojvodina30195655:2962
3Partizan30194762:3961
4Zeleznicar Pancevo30156942:3051
5Novi Pazar30138938:3747
6OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet3010101039:3940
7Cukaricki3010101042:4340
8Radnik Surdulica301091137:3539
9IMT Novi Beograd301071335:4937
10Radnicki 1923308121032:3736
11TSC Backa Topola308101226:3534
12Javor308101229:3934
13Radnicki Nis30961536:4233
14Mladost Lucani307111223:4632
15Spartak Subotica30491734:5521
16Napredak30282026:6514