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TSG Neustrelitz vs RB Leipzig II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Palacios-Martinez F.
43' Event
Wagner F.
53' Event
Celani F.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost 2016/2017 game between TSG Neustrelitz and RB Leipzig II finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RB Leipzig II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
TSG Neustrelitz
15%
Draws
59%
RB Leipzig II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RB Leipzig II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • TSG Neustrelitz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives TSG Neustrelitz a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
TSG Neustrelitz Clean Sheet 20%
RB Leipzig II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSG Neustrelitz RB Leipzig II
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 16 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 2 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2017 Regionalliga Nordost
TSG Neustrelitz vs RB Leipzig II
1:3
Dec 4, 2016 Regionalliga Nordost
RB Leipzig II vs TSG Neustrelitz
1:4
Feb 27, 2016 Regionalliga Nordost
RB Leipzig II vs TSG Neustrelitz
4:2
Aug 26, 2015 Regionalliga Nordost
TSG Neustrelitz vs RB Leipzig II
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TSG Neustrelitz Compare

Top Goalscorer Celani F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

RB Leipzig II Compare

Top Goalscorer Palacios-Martinez F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wagner F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSG Neustrelitz 36 / 100
RB Leipzig II 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSG Neustrelitz RB Leipzig II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSG Neustrelitz's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

RB Leipzig II let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

TSG Neustrelitz went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TSG Neustrelitz VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

TSG Neustrelitz

(Home)
27 Sept
TSG Neustrelitz
1 : 3
Berliner AK 07
20 Sept
Sparta Lichtenberg
4 : 1
TSG Neustrelitz
13 Sept
TSG Neustrelitz
1 : 2
Reinickendorfer
28 Aug
Rathenow
2 : 1
TSG Neustrelitz
14 Aug
TSG Neustrelitz
3 : 2
Siedenbollentin
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RB Leipzig II

(Away)
03 Feb
Southampton U21
0 : 3
RB Leipzig II
20 Jan
Everton U21
5 : 1
RB Leipzig II
14 Jan
Manchester City U21
3 : 1
RB Leipzig II
29 Sept
Wolves U21
1 : 1
RB Leipzig II
17 Jan
Crystal Palace U21
1 : 2
RB Leipzig II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jena 34 23 6 5 68:25 75
2 Energie Cottbus 34 19 9 6 58:26 66
3 RB Leipzig II 34 17 9 8 67:42 60
4 Viktoria Berlin 34 15 11 8 63:47 56
5 Babelsberg 34 16 7 11 55:42 55
6 Berliner AK 07 34 16 7 11 54:42 55
7 Wacker Nordhausen 34 14 9 11 47:47 51
8 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 34 13 9 12 41:33 48
9 Hertha Berlin II 34 12 12 10 46:48 48
10 Lokomotive Leipzig 34 13 8 13 53:49 47
11 Schonberg 34 13 8 13 53:60 47
12 Auerbach 34 11 12 11 47:50 45
13 Furstenwalde 34 12 9 13 49:59 45
14 Meuselwitz 34 11 11 12 37:36 44
15 BFC Dynamo 34 12 8 14 51:54 44
16 Luckenwalde 34 5 9 20 35:75 24
17 Bautzen 34 3 9 22 29:68 18
18 TSG Neustrelitz 34 2 5 27 30:80 11
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2016/2017 (Play Offs)