Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TSG Neustrelitz vs Rostocker FC

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 Parkstadion, Neustrelitz
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Hartel M.
11' Event
Hartel M.
26' Event
Ladwig D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 game between TSG Neustrelitz and Rostocker FC finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TSG Neustrelitz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
TSG Neustrelitz
15%
Draws
0%
Rostocker FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TSG Neustrelitz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TSG Neustrelitz come out ahead of Rostocker FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives TSG Neustrelitz a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors TSG Neustrelitz here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
TSG Neustrelitz Clean Sheet 20%
Rostocker FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSG Neustrelitz Rostocker FC
Matches Played 37 32
Wins 19 2
Draws 6 0
Losses 12 30
Goals Scored 2.35 0.56
Goals Conceded 1.54 5.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2025 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
TSG Neustrelitz vs Rostocker FC
8:0
Nov 23, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Rostocker FC vs TSG Neustrelitz
0:3
Feb 25, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
TSG Neustrelitz vs Rostocker FC
3:2
Aug 19, 2023 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Rostocker FC vs TSG Neustrelitz
2:1
Jun 10, 2023 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Rostocker FC vs TSG Neustrelitz
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TSG Neustrelitz Compare

Top Goalscorer Hartel M.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Akogo K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Rostocker FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSG Neustrelitz 85 / 100
Rostocker FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSG Neustrelitz Rostocker FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSG Neustrelitz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSG Neustrelitz found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (37 games).

Rostocker FC has conceded goals in 100% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Rostocker FC has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

TSG Neustrelitz VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

TSG Neustrelitz

(Home)
27 Sept
TSG Neustrelitz
1 : 3
Berliner AK 07
20 Sept
Sparta Lichtenberg
4 : 1
TSG Neustrelitz
13 Sept
TSG Neustrelitz
1 : 2
Reinickendorfer
28 Aug
Rathenow
2 : 1
TSG Neustrelitz
14 Aug
TSG Neustrelitz
3 : 2
Siedenbollentin
Page 1 of 8

Rostocker FC

(Away)
26 Jun
Rostocker FC
0 : 7
Hansa Rostock
31 May
TB Berlin
8 : 0
Rostocker FC
23 May
Rostocker FC
0 : 4
Hansa Rostock II
16 May
TSG Neustrelitz
8 : 0
Rostocker FC
11 May
SV Tasmania Berlin
10 : 2
Rostocker FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BFC Preussen 30 20 7 3 77:22 67
2 Lichtenberg 30 20 6 4 88:28 66
3 Mahlsdorf 30 20 6 4 82:32 66
4 Hansa Rostock II 30 19 3 8 96:46 60
5 TUS Makkabi 30 13 9 8 60:41 48
6 Sparta Lichtenberg 30 14 6 10 76:66 48
7 TSG Neustrelitz 30 13 6 11 56:48 45
8 Berliner AK 07 30 12 8 10 50:37 44
9 TB Berlin 30 13 3 14 74:71 42
10 SV Tasmania Berlin 30 12 4 14 51:51 40
11 Dynamo Schwerin 30 11 3 16 51:68 36
12 Wismar 30 10 5 15 55:68 35
13 Rathenow 30 7 9 14 46:57 30
14 SC Staaken 30 9 2 19 48:73 29
15 Ahrensfelde 30 5 7 18 46:75 22
16 Rostocker FC 30 0 0 30 10:183 0
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation (Main)