Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: New Soger
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- New Soger have won more games recently than Tshinkunku.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Tshinkunku Clean Sheet 20%
New Soger Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tshinkunku | New Soger |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 26, 2026 Ligue 1
Tshinkunku vs New Soger
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Ligue 1
New Soger vs Tshinkunku
3:0
Feb 16, 2016 Ligue 1
Tshinkunku vs New Soger
0:0
Oct 29, 2015 Ligue 1
New Soger vs Tshinkunku
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tshinkunku 31 / 100
New Soger 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tshinkunku New Soger
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tshinkunku Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
New Soger has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
New Soger lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Tshinkunku's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Tshinkunku VS New Soger
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Tshinkunku
(Home) 15 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 2 Tshinkunku
08 Apr
Mazembe
3 : 1 Tshinkunku
29 Mar
Sanga Balende
1 : 0 Tshinkunku
25 Mar
Tshinkunku
0 : 0 Don Bosco
18 Mar
Tshinkunku
0 : 0 St Eloi Lupopo
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25 Mar
Tshinkunku
0 : 0 Don Bosco
18 Mar
Tshinkunku
0 : 0 St Eloi Lupopo
15 Mar
Tshinkunku
0 : 2 Manika
04 Mar
Tshinkunku
1 : 1 Simba
26 Feb
Tshinkunku
1 : 1 New Soger
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New Soger
(Away) 15 Apr
New Soger
0 : 3 Mazembe
10 Apr
Groupe Bazano
3 : 1 New Soger
02 Apr
St Eloi Lupopo
4 : 1 New Soger
30 Mar
New Soger
1 : 1 Tshikas
22 Mar
New Soger
4 : 2 Lubumbashi Sport
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10 Apr
Groupe Bazano
3 : 1 New Soger
02 Apr
St Eloi Lupopo
4 : 1 New Soger
10 Mar
Manika
2 : 0 New Soger
01 Mar
Saint-Luc
0 : 3 New Soger
26 Feb
Tshinkunku
1 : 1 New Soger
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazembe | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 57:12 | 73 |
| 2 | St Eloi Lupopo | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 55:27 | 63 |
| 3 | Don Bosco | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:24 | 56 |
| 4 | Simba | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 50 |
| 5 | Manika | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 31:20 | 48 |
| 6 | Tanganyika | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 38:32 | 44 |
| 7 | Lubumbashi Sport | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 8 | Blessing | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 33:31 | 40 |
| 9 | Sanga Balende | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Saint-Luc | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 21:33 | 35 |
| 11 | Malole | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 34:39 | 33 |
| 12 | New Soger | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 29:40 | 33 |
| 13 | Tshinkunku | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:41 | 31 |
| 14 | Groupe Bazano | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26:38 | 30 |
| 15 | Tshikas | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 25:40 | 28 |
| 16 | US Panda | 30 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 17:59 | 16 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Maniema | 27 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 38:10 | 52 |
| 2 | AS Vita Club | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 35:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Aigles du Congo | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 32:16 | 48 |
| 4 | Dauphins Noirs | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:20 | 45 |
| 5 | Celeste | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:13 | 44 |
| 6 | Etoile de Kivu | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:35 | 36 |
| 7 | Motema Pembe | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 33:25 | 35 |
| 8 | Anges Verts | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 26:32 | 29 |
| 9 | New Jack | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:26 | 29 |
| 10 | AC Rangers | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 21:35 | 29 |
| 11 | FC MK Etancheite | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:35 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Renaissance | 27 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 21:40 | 25 |
| 13 | OC Renaissance | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 14:33 | 22 |
| 14 | Bukavu Dawa | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 10:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Martin Pecheur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)
