Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tshinkunku vs New Soger

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Tshinkunku
39%
Draws
31%
New Soger
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • New Soger have won more games recently than Tshinkunku.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Tshinkunku Clean Sheet 20%
New Soger Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tshinkunku New Soger
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 10 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2026 Ligue 1
Tshinkunku vs New Soger
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Ligue 1
New Soger vs Tshinkunku
3:0
Feb 16, 2016 Ligue 1
Tshinkunku vs New Soger
0:0
Oct 29, 2015 Ligue 1
New Soger vs Tshinkunku
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tshinkunku 31 / 100
New Soger 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tshinkunku New Soger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Soger has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

New Soger lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Tshinkunku's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tshinkunku VS New Soger
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tshinkunku

(Home)
15 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 2
Tshinkunku
08 Apr
Mazembe
3 : 1
Tshinkunku
29 Mar
Sanga Balende
1 : 0
Tshinkunku
25 Mar
Tshinkunku
0 : 0
Don Bosco
18 Mar
Tshinkunku
0 : 0
St Eloi Lupopo
Page 1 of 6

New Soger

(Away)
15 Apr
New Soger
0 : 3
Mazembe
10 Apr
Groupe Bazano
3 : 1
New Soger
02 Apr
St Eloi Lupopo
4 : 1
New Soger
30 Mar
New Soger
1 : 1
Tshikas
22 Mar
New Soger
4 : 2
Lubumbashi Sport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazembe30234357:1273
2St Eloi Lupopo30196555:2763
3Don Bosco30168643:2456
4Simba30148833:2750
5Manika301212631:2048
6Tanganyika301351238:3244
7Lubumbashi Sport301110927:2643
8Blessing301171233:3140
9Sanga Balende301061425:3436
10Saint-Luc30981321:3335
11Malole30961534:3933
12New Soger30961529:4033
13Tshinkunku307101323:4131
14Groupe Bazano30791426:3830
15Tshikas306101425:4028
16US Panda30512417:5916
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Maniema271313138:1052
2AS Vita Club271311335:1350
3Aigles du Congo26139432:1648
4Dauphins Noirs26136735:2045
5Celeste26128636:1344
6Etoile de Kivu261061034:3536
7Motema Pembe26714533:2535
8Anges Verts26611926:3229
9New Jack26611920:2629
10AC Rangers27781221:3529
11FC MK Etancheite26681215:3526
12FC Renaissance274131021:4025
13OC Renaissance264101214:3322
14Bukavu Dawa26281610:3714
15Martin Pecheur00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)