Sport Picks
Tshinkunku vs Sanga Balende - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
DR Congo
Ligue 1 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Tshinkunku and Sanga Balende finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sanga Balende.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
15%
20%
65%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sanga Balende
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sanga Balende come out ahead of Tshinkunku on wins alone.
- Sanga Balende are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Sanga Balende have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Tshinkunku Clean Sheet 20%
Sanga Balende Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tshinkunku | Sanga Balende |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2026 Ligue 1
Sanga Balende vs Tshinkunku
1:0
Jan 12, 2026 Ligue 1
Tshinkunku vs Sanga Balende
0:1
Mar 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Sanga Balende vs Tshinkunku
1:0
Dec 8, 2024 Ligue 1
Tshinkunku vs Sanga Balende
0:1
May 9, 2024 Ligue 1
Sanga Balende vs Tshinkunku
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tshinkunku 20 / 100
Sanga Balende 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tshinkunku Sanga Balende
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sanga Balende Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sanga Balende let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Tshinkunku found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Tshinkunku stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tshinkunku VS Sanga Balende
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Tshinkunku
(Home) 15 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 2 Tshinkunku
08 Apr
Mazembe
3 : 1 Tshinkunku
29 Mar
Sanga Balende
1 : 0 Tshinkunku
25 Mar
Tshinkunku
0 : 0 Don Bosco
18 Mar
Tshinkunku
0 : 0 St Eloi Lupopo
Page 1 of 6
25 Mar
Tshinkunku
0 : 0 Don Bosco
18 Mar
Tshinkunku
0 : 0 St Eloi Lupopo
15 Mar
Tshinkunku
0 : 2 Manika
04 Mar
Tshinkunku
1 : 1 Simba
26 Feb
Tshinkunku
1 : 1 New Soger
Page 1 of 3
Sanga Balende
(Away) 22 Apr
Malole
1 : 2 Sanga Balende
08 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 1 Sanga Balende
29 Mar
Sanga Balende
1 : 0 Tshinkunku
22 Mar
Sanga Balende
0 : 2 Simba
14 Mar
New Soger
0 : 1 Sanga Balende
Page 1 of 6
22 Apr
Malole
1 : 2 Sanga Balende
08 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 1 Sanga Balende
14 Mar
New Soger
0 : 1 Sanga Balende
04 Mar
Lubumbashi Sport
2 : 1 Sanga Balende
19 Feb
Blessing
2 : 0 Sanga Balende
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazembe | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 57:12 | 73 |
| 2 | St Eloi Lupopo | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 55:27 | 63 |
| 3 | Don Bosco | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:24 | 56 |
| 4 | Simba | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 50 |
| 5 | Manika | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 31:20 | 48 |
| 6 | Tanganyika | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 38:32 | 44 |
| 7 | Lubumbashi Sport | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 8 | Blessing | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 33:31 | 40 |
| 9 | Sanga Balende | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Saint-Luc | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 21:33 | 35 |
| 11 | Malole | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 34:39 | 33 |
| 12 | New Soger | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 29:40 | 33 |
| 13 | Tshinkunku | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:41 | 31 |
| 14 | Groupe Bazano | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26:38 | 30 |
| 15 | Tshikas | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 25:40 | 28 |
| 16 | US Panda | 30 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 17:59 | 16 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Maniema | 27 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 38:10 | 52 |
| 2 | AS Vita Club | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 35:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Aigles du Congo | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 32:16 | 48 |
| 4 | Dauphins Noirs | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:20 | 45 |
| 5 | Celeste | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:13 | 44 |
| 6 | Etoile de Kivu | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:35 | 36 |
| 7 | Motema Pembe | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 33:25 | 35 |
| 8 | Anges Verts | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 26:32 | 29 |
| 9 | New Jack | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:26 | 29 |
| 10 | AC Rangers | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 21:35 | 29 |
| 11 | FC MK Etancheite | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:35 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Renaissance | 27 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 21:40 | 25 |
| 13 | OC Renaissance | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 14:33 | 22 |
| 14 | Bukavu Dawa | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 10:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Martin Pecheur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
