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Stadium Background

Tshinkunku vs Simba

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Tshinkunku
20%
Draws
38%
Simba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tshinkunku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Tshinkunku haven't matched Simba's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tshinkunku's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Tshinkunku Clean Sheet 14%
Simba Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tshinkunku Simba
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 7 15
Draws 10 11
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.33 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Ligue 1
Tshinkunku vs Simba
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Ligue 1
Simba vs Tshinkunku
2:1
Feb 24, 2025 Ligue 1
Simba vs Tshinkunku
1:0
Nov 21, 2024 Ligue 1
Simba vs Tshinkunku
0:0
Oct 30, 2024 Ligue 1
Tshinkunku vs Simba
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tshinkunku 41 / 100
Simba 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tshinkunku Simba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Simba let in goals in 70% of their last 40 matches.

Tshinkunku scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tshinkunku remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tshinkunku VS Simba
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 13%
67% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tshinkunku

(Home)
15 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 2
Tshinkunku
08 Apr
Mazembe
3 : 1
Tshinkunku
29 Mar
Sanga Balende
1 : 0
Tshinkunku
25 Mar
Tshinkunku
0 : 0
Don Bosco
18 Mar
Tshinkunku
0 : 0
St Eloi Lupopo
Page 1 of 6

Simba

(Away)
20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1
AS Maniema
17 Jun
Simba
0 : 0
AS Vita Club
14 Jun
Aigles du Congo
1 : 0
Simba
10 Jun
Celeste
1 : 1
Simba
06 Jun
Simba
0 : 3
St Eloi Lupopo
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazembe30234357:1273
2St Eloi Lupopo30196555:2763
3Don Bosco30168643:2456
4Simba30148833:2750
5Manika301212631:2048
6Tanganyika301351238:3244
7Lubumbashi Sport301110927:2643
8Blessing301171233:3140
9Sanga Balende301061425:3436
10Saint-Luc30981321:3335
11Malole30961534:3933
12New Soger30961529:4033
13Tshinkunku307101323:4131
14Groupe Bazano30791426:3830
15Tshikas306101425:4028
16US Panda30512417:5916
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Maniema271313138:1052
2AS Vita Club271311335:1350
3Aigles du Congo26139432:1648
4Dauphins Noirs26136735:2045
5Celeste26128636:1344
6Etoile de Kivu261061034:3536
7Motema Pembe26714533:2535
8Anges Verts26611926:3229
9New Jack26611920:2629
10AC Rangers27781221:3529
11FC MK Etancheite26681215:3526
12FC Renaissance274131021:4025
13OC Renaissance264101214:3322
14Bukavu Dawa26281610:3714
15Martin Pecheur00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)