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Stadium Background

Tshinkunku vs Simba

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Tshinkunku
35%
Draws
46%
Simba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Simba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Simba haven't matched Tshinkunku's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Tshinkunku Clean Sheet 11%
Simba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tshinkunku Simba
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 6
Draws 10 11
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.77 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Ligue 1
Tshinkunku vs Simba
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Ligue 1
Simba vs Tshinkunku
2:1
Feb 24, 2025 Ligue 1
Simba vs Tshinkunku
1:0
Nov 21, 2024 Ligue 1
Simba vs Tshinkunku
0:0
Oct 30, 2024 Ligue 1
Tshinkunku vs Simba
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tshinkunku 30 / 100
Simba 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tshinkunku Simba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Simba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Simba let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Tshinkunku scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tshinkunku remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tshinkunku VS Simba
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
3 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 13%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tshinkunku

(Home)
15 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 2
Tshinkunku
08 Apr
Mazembe
3 : 1
Tshinkunku
29 Mar
Sanga Balende
1 : 0
Tshinkunku
25 Mar
Tshinkunku
0 : 0
Don Bosco
18 Mar
Tshinkunku
0 : 0
St Eloi Lupopo
Page 1 of 6

Simba

(Away)
22 Aug
Simba
0 : 0
Power Dynamos
21 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Red Arrows
20 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Zesco
20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1
AS Maniema
17 Jun
Simba
0 : 0
AS Vita Club
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)