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Tshinkunku vs Tanganyika

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Sat, Nov 15, 2025
3 - 0
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tshinkunku host Tanganyika in the Ligue 1. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Tshinkunku have averaged 0.77 scored and 1.37 conceded recently, against Tanganyika's 1.27 scored and 1.07 conceded. Head-to-head, Tshinkunku have won 2 to Tanganyika's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 15, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 1.00, favoring Tanganyika. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Tshinkunku
30%
Draws
54%
Tanganyika
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tanganyika

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Tshinkunku haven't matched Tanganyika's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tanganyika a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Tshinkunku Clean Sheet 20%
Tanganyika Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tshinkunku Tanganyika
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 10 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.77 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Ligue 1
Tanganyika vs Tshinkunku
3:2
Nov 15, 2025 Ligue 1
Tshinkunku vs Tanganyika
3:0
Mar 30, 2025 Ligue 1
Tanganyika vs Tshinkunku
3:0
Nov 10, 2024 Ligue 1
Tanganyika vs Tshinkunku
0:0
Oct 26, 2024 Ligue 1
Tshinkunku vs Tanganyika
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tshinkunku 28 / 100
Tanganyika 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tshinkunku Tanganyika

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tanganyika Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tanganyika let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Tshinkunku scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Tshinkunku remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tshinkunku VS Tanganyika
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tshinkunku

(Home)
15 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 2
Tshinkunku
08 Apr
Mazembe
3 : 1
Tshinkunku
29 Mar
Sanga Balende
1 : 0
Tshinkunku
25 Mar
Tshinkunku
0 : 0
Don Bosco
18 Mar
Tshinkunku
0 : 0
St Eloi Lupopo
Page 1 of 6

Tanganyika

(Away)
15 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 2
Tshinkunku
11 Apr
Tanganyika
2 : 2
Saint-Luc
08 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 1
Sanga Balende
02 Apr
Lubumbashi Sport
3 : 2
Tanganyika
29 Mar
Malole
3 : 1
Tanganyika
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)