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Tsirang vs Paro

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Baldeh A.
72' Event
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Paro in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Tsirang
20%
Draws
60%
Paro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Tsirang haven't matched Paro's recent run of results.
  • Paro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Paro here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tsirang Clean Sheet 10%
Paro Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tsirang Paro
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 8 26
Draws 6 3
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.55 3.76
Goals Conceded 2.34 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Premier League
Paro vs Tsirang
7:0
Jun 29, 2026 Premier League
Tsirang vs Paro
0:2
Aug 28, 2025 Premier League
Paro vs Tsirang
6:2
May 21, 2025 Premier League
Tsirang vs Paro
0:4
Aug 8, 2024 Premier League
Paro vs Tsirang
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tsirang Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Paro Compare

Top Goalscorer Baldeh A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tsirang 10 / 100
Paro 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tsirang Paro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Tsirang found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Tsirang stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Paro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tsirang VS Paro
1.88 Goals Scored 2.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tsirang

(Home)
16 Sept
Tsirang
0 : 4
Thimphu FC
26 Aug
Paro
7 : 0
Tsirang
22 Aug
Tensung
1 : 3
Tsirang
18 Aug
Tsirang
5 : 5
BFF Academy U19
07 Aug
Tsirang
1 : 1
Thimphu City
Page 1 of 6

Paro

(Away)
12 Sept
Transport United
2 : 4
Paro
08 Sept
Ugyen Academy
0 : 10
Paro
26 Aug
Paro
7 : 0
Tsirang
20 Aug
Paro
1 : 0
RTC
11 Aug
Paro
2 : 0
Abu Muslim
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paro 16 14 1 1 66:12 43
2 Thimphu City 15 10 4 1 43:11 34
3 Transport United 15 9 1 5 26:19 28
4 Thimphu FC 15 8 1 6 21:20 25
5 RTC 15 6 3 6 17:17 21
6 BFF Academy U19 15 5 4 6 27:35 19
7 Drukpa 15 4 5 6 28:25 17
8 Tsirang 16 4 4 8 25:38 16
9 Tensung 15 2 2 11 11:41 8
10 Ugyen Academy 15 1 1 13 9:55 4
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Qualification)