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Tsirang vs Samtse

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League 2025
Tsirang Logo

Tsirang

5 - 0
FT
Samtse Logo

Samtse

Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
John E. P.
53' Event
Wangchuk S.
76' Event
Kayode A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tsirang in this Premier League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tsirang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Tsirang
20%
Draws
30%
Samtse
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tsirang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tsirang lately — more wins on the board than Samtse.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Tsirang taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tsirang Clean Sheet 17%
Samtse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tsirang Samtse
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 2
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.48 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.29 4.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2025 Premier League
Tsirang vs Samtse
5:0
Jul 9, 2025 Premier League
Samtse vs Tsirang
1:2
Aug 5, 2024 Premier League
Samtse vs Tsirang
3:1
May 21, 2024 Premier League
Tsirang vs Samtse
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tsirang Compare

Top Goalscorer Kayode A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader John E. P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Samtse Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tsirang 84 / 100
Samtse 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tsirang Samtse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tsirang Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samtse has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Tsirang's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Tsirang went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tsirang VS Samtse
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tsirang

(Home)
16 Sept
Tsirang
0 : 4
Thimphu FC
26 Aug
Paro
7 : 0
Tsirang
22 Aug
Tensung
1 : 3
Tsirang
18 Aug
Tsirang
5 : 5
BFF Academy U19
07 Aug
Tsirang
1 : 1
Thimphu City
Page 1 of 7

Samtse

(Away)
03 Oct
Samtse
0 : 2
Tensung
25 Sept
RTC
12 : 1
Samtse
23 Sept
Samtse
1 : 10
Thimphu City
17 Sept
Samtse
1 : 9
Transport United
13 Sept
Samtse
9 : 0
Southern City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paro 18 16 1 1 74:17 49
2 Thimphu City 18 14 1 3 64:23 43
3 RTC 18 12 2 4 62:19 38
4 Transport United 18 11 1 6 46:27 34
5 BFF Academy U19 18 8 3 7 40:36 27
6 Ugyen Academy 18 8 1 9 38:41 25
7 Tsirang 18 4 4 10 21:42 16
8 Tensung 18 3 2 13 17:48 11
9 Southern City 18 3 1 14 15:59 10
10 Samtse 18 2 2 14 22:87 8
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