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TSK Simferopol vs Zarechnoye

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Udin Y.
11' Event
Maltsev L.
25' Event
Matvijenko D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Premier League (Crimea) game between TSK Simferopol and Zarechnoye finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zarechnoye.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
TSK Simferopol
20%
Draws
28%
Zarechnoye
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TSK Simferopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Zarechnoye haven't matched TSK Simferopol's recent run of results.
  • TSK Simferopol are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
TSK Simferopol Clean Sheet 10%
Zarechnoye Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSK Simferopol Zarechnoye
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 16
Draws 4 7
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.59 2.37
Goals Conceded 1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs TSK Simferopol
1:2
Jun 6, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs Zarechnoye
2:3
Apr 18, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs TSK Simferopol
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs Zarechnoye
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs TSK Simferopol
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TSK Simferopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Maltsev L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Zarechnoye Compare

Top Goalscorer Udin Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tsoi V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSK Simferopol 83 / 100
Zarechnoye 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSK Simferopol Zarechnoye

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSK Simferopol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: TSK Simferopol scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Recent resilience: TSK Simferopol stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Zarechnoye's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

TSK Simferopol VS Zarechnoye
2.88 Goals Scored 3.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

TSK Simferopol

(Home)
03 Oct
MAK
0 : 0
TSK Simferopol
27 Sept
TSK Simferopol
11 : 0
Sparta-KT
19 Sept
Zarechnoye
1 : 2
TSK Simferopol
09 Sept
TSK Simferopol
4 : 0
GFK Yalta
05 Sept
TSK Simferopol
2 : 1
Ocean Kerch
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Zarechnoye

(Away)
03 Oct
Zarechnoye
0 : 1
GFK Yalta
27 Sept
Ocean Kerch
0 : 2
Zarechnoye
19 Sept
Zarechnoye
1 : 2
TSK Simferopol
09 Sept
Zarechnoye
5 : 0
Feodosiya
05 Sept
MAK
1 : 1
Zarechnoye
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