Sport Picks
TSV Concordia vs Alsterbruder - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025 
Match Events
3'
3'
Kaya M.
15'
15'
Dimakis Z.
(Penalty)
25'
25'
Mata Seta J.
AI Match Summary
Alsterbruder in this Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alsterbruder.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TSV Concordia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Alsterbruder haven't matched TSV Concordia's recent run of results.
- TSV Concordia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 35%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
TSV Concordia Clean Sheet 10%
Alsterbruder Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | TSV Concordia | Alsterbruder |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.62 | 2.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 2.98 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
TSV Concordia vs Alsterbruder
2:5
Nov 17, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Alsterbruder vs TSV Concordia
0:1
Apr 28, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Alsterbruder vs TSV Concordia
1:2
Oct 28, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
TSV Concordia vs Alsterbruder
3:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
TSV Concordia Compare
Top Goalscorer Mata Seta J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Alsterbruder Compare
Top Goalscorer Kaya M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Duve F. L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.71
Avg xA / game 1.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
TSV Concordia 83 / 100
Alsterbruder 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
TSV Concordia Alsterbruder
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TSV Concordia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alsterbruder has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.75 goals per match.
TSV Concordia found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
TSV Concordia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
TSV Concordia VS Alsterbruder
1.38 Goals Scored 2.2
3.75 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 80%
Recent Form & Match History
TSV Concordia
(Home) 02 Oct
Niendorfer TSV
1 : 2 TSV Concordia
27 Sept
TSV Concordia
2 : 3 Paloma
20 Sept
Tesla Hamburg
2 : 2 TSV Concordia
11 Sept
TSV Concordia
4 : 2 Eintracht Norderstedt II
04 Sept
Harksheide
1 : 3 TSV Concordia
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
TSV Concordia
2 : 3 Paloma
11 Sept
TSV Concordia
4 : 2 Eintracht Norderstedt II
28 Aug
TSV Concordia
3 : 4 Altona
14 Aug
TSV Concordia
1 : 4 ETSV Hamburg
31 Jul
TSV Concordia
0 : 2 HEBC Hamburg
Page 1 of 3
Alsterbruder
(Away) 16 May
TSV Concordia
2 : 5 Alsterbruder
10 May
Alsterbruder
1 : 4 Paloma
25 Apr
Suderelbe
3 : 2 Alsterbruder
13 Apr
Alsterbruder
1 : 2 Sasel
04 Apr
Eimsbutteler
4 : 2 Alsterbruder
Page 1 of 6
16 May
TSV Concordia
2 : 5 Alsterbruder
25 Apr
Suderelbe
3 : 2 Alsterbruder
04 Apr
Eimsbutteler
4 : 2 Alsterbruder
25 Mar
Altona
1 : 1 Alsterbruder
22 Mar
Vorwarts-Wacker
4 : 1 Alsterbruder
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Altona | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99:30 | 82 |
| 2 | Dassendorf | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 98:32 | 82 |
| 3 | Eimsbutteler | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 96:48 | 70 |
| 4 | Paloma | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 84:54 | 70 |
| 5 | ETSV Hamburg | 34 | 20 | 3 | 11 | 96:50 | 63 |
| 6 | Niendorfer TSV | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 78:44 | 61 |
| 7 | HEBC Hamburg | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 56:45 | 53 |
| 8 | Vorwarts-Wacker | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 86:97 | 50 |
| 9 | TSV Buchholz 08 | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 70:76 | 46 |
| 10 | Suderelbe | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 70:83 | 44 |
| 11 | SC Victoria Hamburg | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 69:73 | 41 |
| 12 | Sasel | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 60:73 | 40 |
| 13 | Turkiye Wilhelmsburg | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 73:94 | 36 |
| 14 | Harksheide | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 63:89 | 35 |
| 15 | Halstenbek-Rellingen | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 53:83 | 35 |
| 16 | TSV Concordia | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 47:88 | 29 |
| 17 | Alsterbruder | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 37:90 | 25 |
| 18 | Hamburger III | 34 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 45:131 | 11 |
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
