Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TSV Concordia vs ETSV Hamburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg game between TSV Concordia and ETSV Hamburg finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ETSV Hamburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
TSV Concordia
15%
Draws
32%
ETSV Hamburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TSV Concordia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ETSV Hamburg come out ahead of TSV Concordia on wins alone.
  • TSV Concordia are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
TSV Concordia Clean Sheet 10%
ETSV Hamburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Concordia ETSV Hamburg
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 7 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.55 3.04
Goals Conceded 2.62 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
TSV Concordia vs ETSV Hamburg
1:4
Mar 21, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
TSV Concordia vs ETSV Hamburg
2:1
Oct 6, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
ETSV Hamburg vs TSV Concordia
1:2
Jan 26, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
TSV Concordia vs ETSV Hamburg
1:1
Aug 11, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
ETSV Hamburg vs TSV Concordia
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Concordia 65 / 100
ETSV Hamburg 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Concordia ETSV Hamburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSV Concordia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

TSV Concordia's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: ETSV Hamburg conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

TSV Concordia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

TSV Concordia VS ETSV Hamburg
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Concordia

(Home)
02 Oct
Niendorfer TSV
1 : 2
TSV Concordia
27 Sept
TSV Concordia
2 : 3
Paloma
20 Sept
Tesla Hamburg
2 : 2
TSV Concordia
11 Sept
TSV Concordia
4 : 2
Eintracht Norderstedt II
04 Sept
Harksheide
1 : 3
TSV Concordia
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ETSV Hamburg

(Away)
04 Oct
Paloma
1 : 4
ETSV Hamburg
27 Sept
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 1
Tesla Hamburg
11 Sept
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
Harksheide
28 Aug
ETSV Hamburg
1 : 4
TSV Buchholz 08
21 Aug
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
HEBC Hamburg
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