Sport Picks
TSV Concordia vs Niendorfer TSV
Germany
Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025 
Match Events
11'
11'
Dohrn B.
12'
12'
Ali I.
28'
28'
Daams A.
AI Match Summary
The Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025 game between TSV Concordia and Niendorfer TSV finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Niendorfer TSV.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: TSV Concordia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Niendorfer TSV carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans TSV Concordia's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Niendorfer TSV have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
TSV Concordia Clean Sheet 10%
Niendorfer TSV Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | TSV Concordia | Niendorfer TSV |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 8 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 2.15 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.52 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
TSV Concordia vs Niendorfer TSV
2:4
Nov 3, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Niendorfer TSV vs TSV Concordia
7:1
Nov 25, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
TSV Concordia vs Niendorfer TSV
2:4
Aug 6, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Niendorfer TSV vs TSV Concordia
6:2
May 5, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Niendorfer TSV vs TSV Concordia
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
TSV Concordia Compare
Top Goalscorer Daams A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Niendorfer TSV Compare
Top Goalscorer Dohrn B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Ali I.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
TSV Concordia 74 / 100
Niendorfer TSV 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
TSV Concordia Niendorfer TSV
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TSV Concordia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 6.60 goals when they meet.
TSV Concordia found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Niendorfer TSV has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.
Recent resilience: TSV Concordia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
TSV Concordia VS Niendorfer TSV
1.75 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
TSV Concordia
(Home) 20 Sept
Tesla Hamburg
2 : 2 TSV Concordia
11 Sept
TSV Concordia
4 : 2 Eintracht Norderstedt II
04 Sept
Harksheide
1 : 3 TSV Concordia
28 Aug
TSV Concordia
3 : 4 Altona
23 Aug
TSV Buchholz 08
1 : 1 TSV Concordia
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
TSV Concordia
4 : 2 Eintracht Norderstedt II
28 Aug
TSV Concordia
3 : 4 Altona
14 Aug
TSV Concordia
1 : 4 ETSV Hamburg
31 Jul
TSV Concordia
0 : 2 HEBC Hamburg
16 May
TSV Concordia
2 : 5 Alsterbruder
Page 1 of 3
Niendorfer TSV
(Away) 26 Sept
Teutonia Ottensen
1 : 1 Niendorfer TSV
20 Sept
Niendorfer TSV
2 : 4 Dassendorf
13 Sept
Sasel
0 : 3 Niendorfer TSV
06 Sept
Niendorfer TSV
1 : 0 Suderelbe
30 Aug
Pinneberg
5 : 0 Niendorfer TSV
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Teutonia Ottensen
1 : 1 Niendorfer TSV
13 Sept
Sasel
0 : 3 Niendorfer TSV
30 Aug
Pinneberg
5 : 0 Niendorfer TSV
14 Aug
Vorwarts-Wacker
2 : 2 Niendorfer TSV
26 Jul
HEBC Hamburg
0 : 3 Niendorfer TSV
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Altona | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99:30 | 82 |
| 2 | Dassendorf | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 98:32 | 82 |
| 3 | Eimsbutteler | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 96:48 | 70 |
| 4 | Paloma | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 84:54 | 70 |
| 5 | ETSV Hamburg | 34 | 20 | 3 | 11 | 96:50 | 63 |
| 6 | Niendorfer TSV | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 78:44 | 61 |
| 7 | HEBC Hamburg | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 56:45 | 53 |
| 8 | Vorwarts-Wacker | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 86:97 | 50 |
| 9 | TSV Buchholz 08 | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 70:76 | 46 |
| 10 | Suderelbe | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 70:83 | 44 |
| 11 | SC Victoria Hamburg | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 69:73 | 41 |
| 12 | Sasel | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 60:73 | 40 |
| 13 | Turkiye Wilhelmsburg | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 73:94 | 36 |
| 14 | Harksheide | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 63:89 | 35 |
| 15 | Halstenbek-Rellingen | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 53:83 | 35 |
| 16 | TSV Concordia | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 47:88 | 29 |
| 17 | Alsterbruder | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 37:90 | 25 |
| 18 | Hamburger III | 34 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 45:131 | 11 |
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
