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TSV Essingen vs Backnang

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TSV Essingen in this Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored TSV Essingen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
TSV Essingen
30%
Draws
58%
Backnang
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Backnang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Backnang lately — more wins on the board than TSV Essingen.
  • Backnang are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • TSV Essingen have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
TSV Essingen Clean Sheet 10%
Backnang Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Essingen Backnang
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 11 4
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.69 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.76 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
TSV Essingen vs Backnang
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Backnang vs TSV Essingen
2:3
May 16, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Backnang vs TSV Essingen
1:2
Nov 2, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
TSV Essingen vs Backnang
2:1
Apr 20, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
TSV Essingen vs Backnang
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Essingen 10 / 100
Backnang 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Essingen Backnang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Backnang Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Backnang has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

TSV Essingen's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: TSV Essingen stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TSV Essingen VS Backnang
1.75 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Essingen

(Home)
12 Sept
TSV Essingen
2 : 2
1. FC Muhlhausen
09 Sept
Karlsruher II
0 : 0
TSV Essingen
05 Sept
TSV Essingen
0 : 4
1. CfR Pforzheim
29 Aug
Ravensburg
3 : 0
TSV Essingen
22 Aug
TSV Essingen
1 : 2
Turkspor Neckarsulm
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Backnang

(Away)
12 Sept
Backnang
1 : 1
Balingen
09 Sept
FC Normannia Gmund
2 : 3
Backnang
05 Sept
Backnang
2 : 3
Reutlingen
29 Aug
FC 08 Villingen
2 : 4
Backnang
21 Aug
Backnang
2 : 1
FC Nottingen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aalen 34 26 5 3 87:24 83
2 VfR Mannheim 34 20 9 5 81:34 69
3 FC Nottingen 34 18 4 12 82:61 58
4 Ravensburg 34 16 9 9 61:52 57
5 TSV Essingen 34 14 12 8 54:58 54
6 Oberachern 34 16 6 12 54:62 54
7 1. CfR Pforzheim 34 12 12 10 68:61 48
8 Reutlingen 34 12 11 11 56:50 47
9 FC 08 Villingen 34 12 11 11 55:56 47
10 Karlsruher II 34 11 10 13 54:61 43
11 Backnang 34 12 6 16 50:67 42
12 Turkish SV Singen 34 12 4 18 55:81 40
13 FC Normannia Gmund 34 9 12 13 53:51 39
14 Turkspor Neckarsulm 34 11 6 17 52:61 39
15 Goppinger 34 9 9 16 53:53 36
16 Hollenbach 34 9 8 17 56:69 35
17 Bietigheim-Bissingen 34 7 12 15 54:81 33
18 Denzlingen 34 5 4 25 35:78 19
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)