Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2025/2026

TSV Essingen

2 - 1

Backnang

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

TSV Essingen in this Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored TSV Essingen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

TSV Essingen

22%

Draws

18%

Backnang

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: TSV Essingen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to TSV Essingen lately — more wins on the board than Backnang.
TSV Essingen are the model's pick here, at 60%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
TSV Essingen have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 79%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%

TSV Essingen Clean Sheet 10%

Backnang Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	TSV Essingen	Backnang
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	12	11
Draws	11	4
Losses	7	14
Goals Scored	1.38	1.63
Goals Conceded	2.5	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg

TSV Essingen vs Backnang

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Sep 27, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg

Backnang vs TSV Essingen

Possession: 55% - 49% Cards: 2 - 2

2:3

May 16, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg

Backnang vs TSV Essingen

Possession: 44% - 57% Cards: 4 - 2

1:2

Nov 2, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg

TSV Essingen vs Backnang

Possession: 55% - 60% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Apr 20, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg

TSV Essingen vs Backnang

Possession: 41% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Essingen 56 / 100

Backnang 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

TSV Essingen Backnang

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: TSV Essingen scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Backnang let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: TSV Essingen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TSV Essingen VS Backnang

1.38 Goals Scored 1.63

2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88

100% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 88%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Aalen	34	26	5	3	87:24	83
2	VfR Mannheim	34	20	9	5	81:34	69
3	FC Nottingen	34	18	4	12	82:61	58
4	Ravensburg	34	16	9	9	61:52	57
5	TSV Essingen	34	14	12	8	54:58	54
6	Oberachern	34	16	6	12	54:62	54
7	1. CfR Pforzheim	34	12	12	10	68:61	48
8	Reutlingen	34	12	11	11	56:50	47
9	FC 08 Villingen	34	12	11	11	55:56	47
10	Karlsruher II	34	11	10	13	54:61	43
11	Backnang	34	12	6	16	50:67	42
12	Turkish SV Singen	34	12	4	18	55:81	40
13	FC Normannia Gmund	34	9	12	13	53:51	39
14	Turkspor Neckarsulm	34	11	6	17	52:61	39
15	Goppinger	34	9	9	16	53:53	36
16	Hollenbach	34	9	8	17	56:69	35
17	Bietigheim-Bissingen	34	7	12	15	54:81	33
18	Denzlingen	34	5	4	25	35:78	19